Rubin vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

09 Aug 2026, 17:30

Post on X

FC Orenburg

Away

AI call Rubin or draw

45%

31%

25%

Home Win · 2.00 Draw · 3.56 Away Win · 4.40

Rubin vs FC Orenburg prediction: Sportiko gives Rubin a 45% chance of winning, FC Orenburg 25% and the draw 31%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:0 · 15.4%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Rubin

LWLDL

FC Orenburg

LLWWL

Last 3 meetings Rubin · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Rubin faces FC Orenburg in a Premier League clash on August 9, 2026. Rubin has shown a solid defensive record, averaging only 1.2 goals conceded per match this season, while Orenburg struggles with consistency, having lost three of their last five outings. Offensively, Rubin has been effective at home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Meanwhile, Orenburg's away form has been lackluster, with a goal-scoring average of just 0.9 per match. This match could hinge on Rubin's ability to exploit Orenburg's defensive weaknesses while maintaining their own sturdy backline.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Orenburg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	10	5	2
1	14	15	6	2
2	9	7	3	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Rubin goals · most likely 0–0 (15.4%)

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Players in form

Rubin

M. Daku 2 gls

FC Orenburg

A. Kasadzhikov 1 gls

R. Kul 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

31%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

31%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.4%	10.2%	5.2%	1.5%	0.3%
1	13.6%	15.1%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%
2	8.6%	7.5%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
3	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.9%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rubin	Draw	FC Orenburg
Rubin	27.7%	5.8%	1.9%
Draw	12.3%	23.6%	13.9%
FC Orenburg	0.8%	2.5%	11.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rubin vs FC Orenburg

0 Rubin Wins

2 Draws

1 FC Orenburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Jul 2026	Rubin	1 - 2	FC Orenburg
11 Apr 2026	Rubin	0 - 0	FC Orenburg
30 Aug 2025	FC Orenburg	2 - 2	Rubin

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Rubin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Rodina Moskva	L	5 - 0
01 Aug	A Akron	W	1 - 2
26 Jul	H FC Krasnodar	L	1 - 3
08 Jul	A Spartak Moscow	D	0 - 0
03 Jul	H FC Orenburg	L	1 - 2

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	L	5 - 1
02 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 3
26 Jul	H FC Rostov	W	2 - 1
03 Jul	A Rubin	W	1 - 2
17 May	A FC Krasnodar	L	3 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Zenit	2	2	0	0	8	0	+8	6
2	Spartak Moscow	2	2	0	0	5	1	+4	6
3	FC Krasnodar	2	2	0	0	6	3	+3	6
4	Dinamo Makhachkala	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
5	CSKA Moscow	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
6	FC Orenburg	2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3
7	Baltika	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3
8	Rubin	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3
9	FC Rostov	2	1	0	1	5	4	+1	3
10	Krylia Sovetov	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
11	Lokomotiv	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
12	Akhmat	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
13	Dynamo	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
14	Fakel	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
15	Rodina Moskva	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0
16	Akron	2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.