Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
AI call Spartak Moscow or draw
44%
27%
29%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar prediction: Sportiko gives Spartak Moscow a 44% chance of winning, FC Krasnodar 29% and the draw 27%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 18:59.

Premium picks

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  • Away to Score 74%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Manfred Ugalde assist: Marquinhos
2' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 5'
Lucas Olaza assist: Douglas Augusto
⚽ 1–2 10'
João Batxi assist: Nikita Krivtsov
▮ 21'
Aleksandr Chernikov Yellow Card
HT 1–2
Esequiel Barco ⇄ Christopher Martins Pereira
46' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Aleksandr Chernikov ⇄ Kevin Lenini
Srđan Babić ⇄ Mirlind Daku
68' ⇄
Manfred Ugalde ⇄ Danil Prutsev
75' ⇄
▮ 76'
Ilya Vakhaniya Yellow Card
Gedson Fernandes Yellow Card
79' ▮
⇄ 83'
Dmitriy Vorobyev ⇄ Magomed Ozdoev
Roman Zobnin ⇄ Igor Dmitriev
84' ⇄
⇄ 86'
Christian ⇄ Valentin Paltsev
▮ 90+4'
Jubal Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Spartak Moscow

Match Stats

FC Krasnodar
62% Ball Possession 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 7
6 Corner Kicks 7
2 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
468 Total passes 285
363 Passes accurate 203
78% Passes % 71%
goals_prevented
Spartak Moscow
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Marquinhos M 7.6 94' – 1 1 37 (30%) 1
98 Aleksandr Maksimenko G 7.3 94' – – – 42 (32%) –
68 Ruslan Litvinov M 7.3 94' – – – 63 (54%) 3
9 Manfred Ugalde F 7.2 75' 1 – 1 20 (14%) 2
25 Danil Prutsev M 7.0 19' – – – 13 (12%) 3
18 Nail Umyarov M 6.9 94' – – 2 53 (38%) –
27 Igor Dmitriev M 6.9 11' – – – 4 (3%) 1
7 Pablo Solari M 6.7 94' – – 1 41 (29%) 1
3 Christopher Wooh D 6.6 94' – – 1 58 (43%) 4
83 Gedson Fernandes D 6.5 94' – – 1 39 (29%) 2
35 Christopher Martins Pereira M 6.3 49' – – 1 10 (8%) –
19 Mirlind Daku F 6.3 26' – – 2 – –
5 Esequiel Barco M 6.2 45' – – – 17 (15%) –
6 Srđan Babić D 6.2 68' – – – 38 (30%) –
47 Roman Zobnin D 5.9 83' – – – 33 (26%) 1
FC Krasnodar
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Lucas Olaza D 8.0 94' 1 – 1 25 (17%) 4
11 João Batxi M 7.5 94' 1 – 1 23 (15%) 1
18 Christian M 7.3 86' – – – 18 (15%) 3
3 Vítor Tormena D 7.3 94' – – – 35 (23%) 2
6 Kevin Lenini M 6.9 28' – – 2 8 (6%) 2
88 Nikita Krivtsov M 6.9 94' – 1 4 30 (21%) 1
5 Jubal D 6.9 94' – – 1 25 (17%) 3
40 Ilya Vakhaniya D 6.9 94' – – – 16 (9%) 2
8 Douglas Augusto M 6.9 94' – 1 1 33 (29%) 1
21 Magomed Ozdoev M 6.7 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
17 Valentin Paltsev D 6.6 8' – – – 2 (2%) –
1 Stanislav Agkatsev G 6.5 94' – – – 24 (14%) –
53 Aleksandr Chernikov M 6.3 66' – – 1 26 (19%) –
10 Dmitriy Vorobyev F 6.0 83' – – 1 17 (13%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean
Spartak Moscow or draw
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Spartak Moscow
WWLWD
FC Krasnodar
DDDDW
Last 3 meetings Spartak Moscow · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Spartak Moscow will face FC Krasnodar. Spartak has shown strong home form historically, contributing to their performance metrics, including an average of 1.8 goals per game at home last season. Conversely, FC Krasnodar has struggled defensively in away fixtures, conceding an average of 1.5 goals. Both teams will look to capitalize on their attacking strengths, with Spartak aiming to leverage their offensive capabilities against Krasnodar's vulnerabilities in defense. The match is expected to be competitive, with key players on both sides needing to step up.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
29%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Spartak Moscow
M. Ugalde 3 gls
M. Daku 3 gls
FC Krasnodar
N. Krivtsov 3 gls
Jubal 3 gls

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Head to Head: Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar

1 Spartak Moscow Wins
0 Draws
2 FC Krasnodar Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Apr 2026 Spartak Moscow 1 - 2 FC Krasnodar
02 Nov 2025 FC Krasnodar 2 - 1 Spartak Moscow
01 Dec 2024 FC Krasnodar 0 - 3 Spartak Moscow
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep H Fakel W 1 - 0
13 Sep H FC Rostov W 3 - 0
06 Sep A Dynamo L 2 - 1
02 Sep H Rodina Moskva W 3 - 1
30 Aug H FC Orenburg D 1 - 1

FC Krasnodar — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
17 Sep A FC Orenburg D 0 - 0
13 Sep H Akron D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Krylia Sovetov D 2 - 2
01 Sep A Fakel D 1 - 1
29 Aug H FC Rostov W 1 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Krasnodar
9 6 3 0 +7 21
2
Dynamo
9 6 1 2 +6 19
3
CSKA Moscow
9 5 4 0 +6 19
4
Spartak Moscow
9 6 1 2 +9 19
5
Zenit
9 6 0 3 +10 18
6
Rubin
9 2 6 1 +1 12
7
Dinamo Makhachkala
9 4 0 5 -1 12
8
Baltika
9 3 2 4 +2 11
9
Krylia Sovetov
9 2 5 2 -1 11
10
Akhmat
9 2 4 3 0 10
11
FC Orenburg
9 1 6 2 -3 9
12
FC Rostov
9 2 2 5 -7 8
13
Akron
9 1 5 3 -7 8
14
Lokomotiv
9 1 4 4 -3 7
15
Rodina Moskva
9 1 2 6 -12 5
16
Fakel
9 0 3 6 -7 3

Spartak Moscow

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Carlos Carcedo Juan
98 Maksimenko
47 Zobnin
6 Babić
3 Wooh
83 Fernandes
68 Litvinov
10 Marquinhos
5 Barco
18 Umyarov
7 Solari
9 Ugalde

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 Aleksandr Maksimenko G
83 Gedson Fernandes D
3 Christopher Wooh D
6 Srđan Babić D
47 Roman Zobnin D
68 Ruslan Litvinov M
7 Pablo Solari M
18 Nail Umyarov M
5 Ezequiel Barco M
10 Marquinhos M
9 Manfred Ugalde F

Substitutes

35 Christopher Martins M
19 Mirlind Daku F
56 Alexander Dovbnya G
1 Ilya Pomazun G
97 Daniil Denisov D
4 Alexander Djiku D
33 Victor Parada D
17 Vladislav Saus M
25 Danyl Prutsev M
27 Igor Dmitriev M
24 Nikita Massalyga M
62 Pavel Polekh F

FC Krasnodar

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Musaev
1 Agkatsev
15 Olaza
5 Jubal
3 Tormena
40 Vakhaniya
8 Douglas
53 Chernikov
11 Batxi
88 Krivtsov
18 Christian
10 Vorobyev

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Stanislav Agkatsev G
40 Ilya Vakhaniya D
3 Vítor Tormena D
5 Jubal D
15 Lucas Olaza D
53 Aleksandr Chernikov M
8 Augusto Douglas M
18 Christian M
88 Nikita Krivtsov M
11 João Batxi M
10 Dmitry Vorobyev F

Substitutes

6 Kevin Pina M
16 Aleksandr Koryakin G
17 Valentin Paltsev D
4 Diego Costa D
59 Artem Khmarin D
47 Daniil Utkin M
21 Magomed Ozdoev M
67 Kazbek Mukailov F

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