Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

09 Aug 2026, 17:00

Post on X

FC Krasnodar

Away

AI call Spartak Moscow or draw

45%

27%

29%

Home Win · 2.23 Draw · 3.74 Away Win · 3.46

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar prediction: Sportiko gives Spartak Moscow a 45% chance of winning, FC Krasnodar 29% and the draw 27%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Spartak Moscow

WWWDD

FC Krasnodar

DWWWL

Last 3 meetings Spartak Moscow · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Spartak Moscow will face FC Krasnodar. Spartak has shown strong home form historically, contributing to their performance metrics, including an average of 1.8 goals per game at home last season. Conversely, FC Krasnodar has struggled defensively in away fixtures, conceding an average of 1.5 goals. Both teams will look to capitalize on their attacking strengths, with Spartak aiming to leverage their offensive capabilities against Krasnodar's vulnerabilities in defense. The match is expected to be competitive, with key players on both sides needing to step up.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

29%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Krasnodar goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	4	2	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	6	4	2	1
4	2	2	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Spartak Moscow goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Spartak Moscow

Marquinhos 1 gls

E. Barco 1 gls

D. Prutsev 1 gls

C. Martins 1 gls

FC Krasnodar

N. Krivtsov 3 gls

Christian 1 gls

J. Boselli 1 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

29%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

29%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 28% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	4.7%	4.1%	1.8%	0.6%
1	6.6%	12.1%	7.2%	3.2%	1.1%
2	7.1%	9.5%	6.4%	2.8%	1.0%
3	4.2%	5.6%	3.8%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.5%	1.7%	0.7%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spartak Moscow	Draw	FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow	29.5%	4.7%	2.1%
Draw	15.0%	15.2%	10.3%
FC Krasnodar	2.6%	4.4%	16.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar

1 Spartak Moscow Wins

0 Draws

2 FC Krasnodar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Apr 2026	Spartak Moscow	1 - 2	FC Krasnodar
02 Nov 2025	FC Krasnodar	2 - 1	Spartak Moscow
01 Dec 2024	FC Krasnodar	0 - 3	Spartak Moscow

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Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H FC Orenburg	W	5 - 1
02 Aug	A Akhmat	W	1 - 2
25 Jul	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 0
08 Jul	H Rubin	D	0 - 0
17 May	A Dinamo Makhachkala	D	0 - 0

FC Krasnodar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Akhmat	D	1 - 1
02 Aug	H Fakel	W	3 - 2
26 Jul	A Rubin	W	1 - 3
17 May	H FC Orenburg	W	3 - 0
11 May	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Zenit	2	2	0	0	8	0	+8	6
2	Spartak Moscow	2	2	0	0	5	1	+4	6
3	FC Krasnodar	2	2	0	0	6	3	+3	6
4	Dinamo Makhachkala	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
5	CSKA Moscow	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
6	FC Orenburg	2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3
7	Baltika	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3
8	Rubin	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3
9	FC Rostov	2	1	0	1	5	4	+1	3
10	Krylia Sovetov	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
11	Lokomotiv	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
12	Akhmat	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
13	Dynamo	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
14	Fakel	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
15	Rodina Moskva	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0
16	Akron	2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.