Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 27

03 Apr 2027, 15:00

Post on X

KV Mechelen

Away

Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

AI call Union St. Gilloise or draw

40%

27%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen prediction: Sportiko gives Union St. Gilloise a 40% chance of winning, KV Mechelen 33% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

KV Mechelen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings Union St. Gilloise · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League clash, Union St. Gilloise faces KV Mechelen. Union St. Gilloise has demonstrated strong form this season, currently sitting in the upper tier of the league, attributed to their solid defensive record and effective attacking play, averaging 2.1 goals per match. Conversely, KV Mechelen has struggled to maintain consistency, with a defense that has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on St. Gilloise's ability to capitalize on home opportunities against a vulnerable Mechelen defense. Key players to watch include St. Gilloise's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their recent successes.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KV Mechelen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	6	5	2	1
1	6	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	5	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Union St. Gilloise goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Union St. Gilloise

R. Florucz 4 gls

R. Mofokeng 3 gls

KV Mechelen

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	5.6%	5.1%	2.4%	0.9%
1	6.3%	12.6%	8.0%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.2%	8.9%	6.4%	3.1%	1.1%
3	3.3%	4.7%	3.4%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.3%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union St. Gilloise	Draw	KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise	24.3%	4.7%	2.3%
Draw	13.9%	15.9%	12.1%
KV Mechelen	2.5%	4.7%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen

1 Union St. Gilloise Wins

1 Draws

1 KV Mechelen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Union St. Gilloise	1 - 0	KV Mechelen
09 Nov 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 1	Union St. Gilloise
16 Feb 2025	Union St. Gilloise	0 - 1	KV Mechelen

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Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lommel United	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Anderlecht	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 4
29 Aug	A RAAL La Louvière	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Charleroi	L	2 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.