Charleroi vs Lommel United Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 27

03 Apr 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Lommel United

Away

Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi

AI call Lommel United or draw

25%

32%

43%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Charleroi vs Lommel United prediction: Sportiko gives Charleroi a 25% chance of winning, Lommel United 43% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Charleroi

WWLWW

Lommel United

DLLWW

Last 1 meetings Charleroi · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

Charleroi faces Lommel United in an intriguing Jupiler Pro League clash. Charleroi has demonstrated solid form, currently sitting mid-table with a balanced home record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, Lommel United, positioned lower in the standings, has struggled away from home, recording just 3 wins in their last 10 matches on the road. Key players to watch include Charleroi's attacking midfielder, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Lommel's leading striker, who will need to capitalize on chances to breach Charleroi's defense. This matchup could be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lommel United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	12	9	4	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Charleroi goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Charleroi

F. Situmona Mbemba 3 gls

A. Scheidler 3 gls

Lommel United

T. Reyners 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

32%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

32%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Away (No Draw) 37% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	12.0%	9.0%	3.9%	1.3%
1	8.3%	14.7%	8.5%	3.7%	1.2%
2	4.7%	6.2%	4.1%	1.8%	0.6%
3	1.5%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Charleroi	Draw	Lommel United
Charleroi	14.5%	4.2%	1.9%
Draw	10.6%	21.0%	16.6%
Lommel United	1.3%	4.1%	25.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Charleroi vs Lommel United

1 Charleroi Wins

0 Draws

0 Lommel United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Lommel United	0 - 1	Charleroi

Charleroi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cercle Brugge	W	3 - 2
13 Sep	A Zulte Waregem	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A Kortrijk	W	1 - 3
22 Aug	H KV Mechelen	W	2 - 0

Lommel United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H KV Mechelen	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Union St. Gilloise	L	5 - 0
04 Sep	H Club Brugge KV	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Cercle Brugge	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	H KVC Westerlo	W	4 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.