KV Mechelen vs Charleroi Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 26

20 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Charleroi

Away

AI call KV Mechelen or draw

35%

32%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

KV Mechelen vs Charleroi prediction: Sportiko gives KV Mechelen a 35% chance of winning, Charleroi 34% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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KV Mechelen

DLLDL

Charleroi

WWLWW

Last 3 meetings KV Mechelen · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, KV Mechelen faces Charleroi. Mechelen has shown a solid home record, with a scoring average of 1.5 goals per game this season. Charleroi, however, has been resilient on the road, boasting a defensive record that concedes less than 1.2 goals per away match. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where both teams have strong playmakers capable of influencing the game. Set pieces may also prove crucial, as both teams have scored a notable percentage of their goals from such situations this season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Charleroi goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ KV Mechelen goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

KV Mechelen

No scorer data.

Charleroi

F. Situmona Mbemba 3 gls

A. Scheidler 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

32%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

32%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	9.4%	6.4%	2.5%	0.7%
1	9.7%	14.9%	7.7%	3.0%	0.9%
2	6.8%	7.9%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.7%	3.1%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	KV Mechelen	Draw	Charleroi
KV Mechelen	20.7%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	13.7%	20.6%	13.4%
Charleroi	1.7%	4.3%	19.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: KV Mechelen vs Charleroi

2 KV Mechelen Wins

0 Draws

1 Charleroi Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Charleroi	2 - 0	KV Mechelen
07 Dec 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 0	Charleroi
28 Sep 2025	Charleroi	0 - 2	KV Mechelen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lommel United	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Anderlecht	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 4
29 Aug	A RAAL La Louvière	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Charleroi	L	2 - 0

Charleroi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cercle Brugge	W	3 - 2
13 Sep	A Zulte Waregem	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A Kortrijk	W	1 - 3
22 Aug	H KV Mechelen	W	2 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.