Genk vs St. Truiden Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 25

13 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

St. Truiden

Away

Cegeka Arena, Genk

AI call Genk or draw

48%

29%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Genk vs St. Truiden prediction: Sportiko gives Genk a 48% chance of winning, St. Truiden 23% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Genk

LDDWD

St. Truiden

LLWLW

Last 3 meetings Genk · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, Genk will face St. Truiden. Genk has shown a strong home record this season, currently averaging 2.1 goals per game at home, while their defense has conceded only 0.9 goals per game. In contrast, St. Truiden struggles on the road, with a lower scoring rate of 1.2 goals per game and a higher defensive average of 1.6 goals conceded. This match will be pivotal for both teams, with Genk aiming to solidify their position in the upper tier of the league. St. Truiden will need to improve their away performance to secure points against a formidable opponent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

St. Truiden goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	6	4	1
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Genk goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Players in form

Genk

R. Durosinmi 5 gls

St. Truiden

S. Baždar 4 gls

R. Merlen 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	6.4%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.7%	13.9%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.4%	9.4%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.8%	4.8%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genk	Draw	St. Truiden
Genk	29.5%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	17.3%	18.5%	9.5%
St. Truiden	2.2%	4.2%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genk vs St. Truiden

2 Genk Wins

1 Draws

0 St. Truiden Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Genk	1 - 0	St. Truiden
28 Sep 2025	St. Truiden	1 - 2	Genk
01 Dec 2024	St. Truiden	2 - 2	Genk

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Genk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Gent	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Anderlecht	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H SK Beveren	W	4 - 0
22 Aug	A Antwerp	D	4 - 4

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A SK Beveren	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H RAAL La Louvière	W	4 - 0
02 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	A Antwerp	W	1 - 4

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.