Union St. Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 24

06 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Standard Liege

Away

Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

AI call Union St. Gilloise or draw

48%

27%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Union St. Gilloise vs Standard Liege prediction: Sportiko gives Union St. Gilloise a 48% chance of winning, Standard Liege 25% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Standard Liege

LLWWW

Last 3 meetings Union St. Gilloise · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League clash between Union St. Gilloise and Standard Liege, both teams will be looking to secure vital points. Union St. Gilloise boasts a strong home record, having won 65% of their matches at home this season. Conversely, Standard Liege has struggled with consistency, securing only 40% of their away fixtures. Key players to watch include Union's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, against Standard’s resilient defense, which has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. This matchup promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams aiming to capitalize on their respective strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Standard Liege goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	4	2
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Union St. Gilloise goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

Union St. Gilloise

R. Florucz 4 gls

R. Mofokeng 3 gls

Standard Liege

D. Eckert Ayensa 4 gls

A. Abid 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

27%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

27%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	5.1%	3.9%	1.5%	0.5%
1	8.1%	12.7%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.7%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.7%	5.6%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.0%	2.4%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union St. Gilloise	Draw	Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise	30.1%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	16.8%	16.1%	9.6%
Standard Liege	2.7%	4.4%	14.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union St. Gilloise vs Standard Liege

2 Union St. Gilloise Wins

1 Draws

0 Standard Liege Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Standard Liege	1 - 1	Union St. Gilloise
16 Aug 2025	Union St. Gilloise	3 - 0	Standard Liege
09 Mar 2025	Union St. Gilloise	3 - 0	Standard Liege

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Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

Standard Liege — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gent	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A KVC Westerlo	L	4 - 2
05 Sep	H Antwerp	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A OH Leuven	W	1 - 2
21 Aug	H RAAL La Louvière	W	2 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.