Genk vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 23

27 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Union St. Gilloise

Away

Cegeka Arena, Genk

AI call Genk or draw

46%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Genk vs Union St. Gilloise prediction: Sportiko gives Genk a 46% chance of winning, Union St. Gilloise 27% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Genk

LDDWD

Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Genk · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League clash, Genk will host Union St. Gilloise. Genk enters the match with a strong home record, having secured 60% of their points at home this season. Conversely, Union St. Gilloise has shown resilience on the road, earning a solid 45% of their points away from home. Both teams have demonstrated effective attacking play, with Genk averaging 1.8 goals per game and Union St. Gilloise at 1.5. This match could hinge on Genk's ability to convert possession into goals against a disciplined Union defense, which concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union St. Gilloise goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	4	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Genk goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

Genk

R. Durosinmi 5 gls

Union St. Gilloise

R. Florucz 4 gls

R. Mofokeng 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	5.4%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
1	7.8%	12.9%	7.0%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.7%	9.5%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%
3	4.3%	5.3%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.2%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genk	Draw	Union St. Gilloise
Genk	28.5%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	16.1%	16.3%	10.3%
Union St. Gilloise	2.6%	4.5%	15.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genk vs Union St. Gilloise

0 Genk Wins

0 Draws

3 Union St. Gilloise Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Union St. Gilloise	2 - 1	Genk
21 Sep 2025	Genk	1 - 2	Union St. Gilloise
03 May 2025	Union St. Gilloise	1 - 0	Genk

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Genk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Gent	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Anderlecht	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H SK Beveren	W	4 - 0
22 Aug	A Antwerp	D	4 - 4

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.