Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 15

19 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Club Brugge KV

Away

Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

AI call Club Brugge KV or draw

28%

27%

46%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV prediction: Sportiko gives Union St. Gilloise a 28% chance of winning, Club Brugge KV 46% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Club Brugge KV

WWLWL

Last 3 meetings Union St. Gilloise · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Union St. Gilloise faces Club Brugge KV in a crucial Jupiler Pro League clash. Gilloise has shown strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Brugge boasts a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per game. Recent head-to-head encounters suggest a competitive matchup, with both teams having the ability to exploit each other's weaknesses. Key players to watch include Gilloise's leading scorer and Brugge's defensive anchor, who will likely play pivotal roles in determining the outcome. This match could have significant implications for title aspirations and playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Club Brugge KV goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	7	4	2	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	4	2	1
3	2	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Union St. Gilloise goals · most likely 1–1 (12.4%)

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Players in form

Union St. Gilloise

R. Florucz 4 gls

R. Mofokeng 3 gls

Club Brugge KV

N. Tresoldi 3 gls

H. Vetlesen 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Home Win

28%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Home Win

28%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Away Scores More 28% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	6.9%	7.2%	4.2%	1.8%
1	4.9%	12.4%	9.5%	5.5%	2.4%
2	4.2%	7.2%	6.2%	3.6%	1.6%
3	1.8%	3.1%	2.7%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union St. Gilloise	Draw	Club Brugge KV
Union St. Gilloise	16.2%	4.6%	2.7%
Draw	10.3%	15.6%	15.7%
Club Brugge KV	2.0%	4.6%	28.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV

1 Union St. Gilloise Wins

1 Draws

1 Club Brugge KV Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jul 2026	Club Brugge KV	1 - 1	Union St. Gilloise
01 Feb 2026	Union St. Gilloise	1 - 0	Club Brugge KV
05 Oct 2025	Club Brugge KV	1 - 0	Union St. Gilloise

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Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

Club Brugge KV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genk	W	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Antwerp	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Aston Villa	L	2 - 3
04 Sep	A Lommel United	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Gent	L	2 - 1

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.