Gent vs St. Truiden Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 14

12 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

St. Truiden

Away

Planet Group Arena, Gent

AI call Gent or draw

48%

28%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Gent vs St. Truiden prediction: Sportiko gives Gent a 48% chance of winning, St. Truiden 25% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Gent

WDWWW

St. Truiden

LLWLW

Last 3 meetings Gent · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Gent will face St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League, with both teams looking to solidify their positions in the league standings. Gent has shown a strong home record this season, averaging 2 goals per match, while St. Truiden has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game away. The matchup will likely hinge on Gent's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against St. Truiden's leaky defense. Stats suggest that Gent's midfield control and pressing could disrupt St. Truiden's rhythm, making this an intriguing encounter for both squads.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

St. Truiden goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	4	2
1	9	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	5	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Gent goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Gent

J. Y. Vergara Ortega 3 gls

St. Truiden

S. Baždar 4 gls

R. Merlen 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	5.5%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
1	8.7%	13.1%	6.6%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.6%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.7%	5.3%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gent	Draw	St. Truiden
Gent	29.9%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	16.7%	16.7%	9.7%
St. Truiden	2.5%	4.3%	14.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gent vs St. Truiden

1 Gent Wins

0 Draws

2 St. Truiden Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Nov 2025	Gent	1 - 2	St. Truiden
27 Jul 2025	St. Truiden	3 - 1	Gent
07 Dec 2024	Gent	2 - 0	St. Truiden

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Gent — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Standard Liege	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Genk	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Cercle Brugge	W	0 - 3
03 Sep	H OH Leuven	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 1

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A SK Beveren	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H RAAL La Louvière	W	4 - 0
02 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	A Antwerp	W	1 - 4

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.