Union St. Gilloise vs Genk Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 11

07 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Genk

Away

Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

AI call Union St. Gilloise or draw

39%

27%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction: Sportiko gives Union St. Gilloise a 39% chance of winning, Genk 33% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Genk

LDDWD

Last 3 meetings Union St. Gilloise · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, Union St. Gilloise will face Genk on November 7, 2026. Union St. Gilloise has shown a strong home record, while Genk has been competitive on the road. Both teams possess solid attacking capabilities, with Union averaging 1.8 goals per match and Genk slightly trailing at 1.5. Defensively, both sides have vulnerabilities, conceding over 1 goal per game on average. This match could hinge on which team's defense can withstand pressure better, making for an intriguing contest.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Genk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	2	1
1	6	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	5	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Union St. Gilloise goals · most likely 1–1 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Union St. Gilloise

R. Florucz 4 gls

R. Mofokeng 3 gls

Genk

R. Durosinmi 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	5.5%	5.1%	2.5%	0.9%
1	6.1%	12.5%	8.1%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.1%	8.9%	6.5%	3.1%	1.2%
3	3.2%	4.7%	3.5%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.3%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union St. Gilloise	Draw	Genk
Union St. Gilloise	24.0%	4.7%	2.3%
Draw	13.9%	15.7%	12.1%
Genk	2.6%	4.7%	20.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union St. Gilloise vs Genk

3 Union St. Gilloise Wins

0 Draws

0 Genk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Union St. Gilloise	2 - 1	Genk
21 Sep 2025	Genk	1 - 2	Union St. Gilloise
03 May 2025	Union St. Gilloise	1 - 0	Genk

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Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

Genk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Gent	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Anderlecht	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H SK Beveren	W	4 - 0
22 Aug	A Antwerp	D	4 - 4

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.