KV Mechelen vs Genk Prediction
FT
AI call
Genk or draw
25%
27%
48%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
KV Mechelen vs Genk prediction: Sportiko gives KV Mechelen a 25% chance of winning, Genk 48% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Oct 2026, 16:55.
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Timeline
Marco Decherf
Yellow Card
2'
▮
Yellow Card
3'
▮
▮
10'
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Yellow Card
S. Michez
assist: Marco Decherf
22'
⚽
1–0
Kobe Corbanie
Yellow Card
24'
▮
HT 1–0
⇄
46'
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
⇄ Ayumu Yokoyama
⇄
63'
Junya Ito
⇄ Aaron Bibout
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi
⇄ Dennis Praet
64'
⇄
▮
67'
Kevin Amaro
Yellow Card
▮
68'
Milan Roganović
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
75'
▮
S. Michez
⇄ Massimo Decoene
75'
⇄
⇄
79'
Kevin Amaro
⇄ Yaimar Medina
⇄
80'
Benjamin Tahirović
⇄ August De Wannemacker
Benito Raman
⇄ Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne
85'
⇄
▮
88'
Matte Smets
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Bryan Heynen
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Yaimar Medina
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
KV Mechelen
Match Stats
Genk
44%
Ball Possession
56%
0.31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
7
1
Blocked Shots
4
4
Shots insidebox
14
4
Shots outsidebox
2
3
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
323
Total passes
392
248
Passes accurate
329
77%
Passes %
84%
-0.43
goals_prevented
-0.43
KV Mechelen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 S. Michez M | 8.3 | 74' | 1 | – | 3 | 41 (28%) | 4 |
| 1 Ortwin De Wolf G | 8.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 31 (19%) | – |
| 3 José Marsà D | 7.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 2 |
| 9 Myron Van Brederode F | 7.3 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 39 (29%) | – |
| 20 Kobe Corbanie D | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 36 (34%) | 1 |
| 2 Luc Marijnissen D | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | – |
| 6 Fredrik Hammar M | 7.0 | 79' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 2 |
| 30 Marco Decherf M | 6.9 | 79' | – | 1 | – | 31 (23%) | – |
| 19 Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi F | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 7 Thérence Koudou M | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 2 |
| 14 Benito Raman F | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 1 |
| 26 Dennis Praet M | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 39 Massimo Decoene M | — | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
Genk
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Matte Smets D | 7.9 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 56 (51%) | 1 |
| 8 Bryan Heynen M | 7.7 | 79' | – | – | 4 | 42 (35%) | 3 |
| 4 Benjamin Tahirović M | 7.5 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 50 (40%) | 1 |
| 18 Joris Kayembe D | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 57 (51%) | 2 |
| 44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo D | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 52 (48%) | 2 |
| 11 Jeppe Erenbjerg M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 26 (19%) | 2 |
| 17 Rafiu Durosinmi F | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 30 Ayumu Yokoyama F | 6.6 | 34' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 20 Kevin Amaro D | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 38 (35%) | 2 |
| 10 Junya Ito M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 28 Lucca Brughmans G | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 14 (7%) | – |
| 32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 23 Aaron Bibout F | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
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Confidence
Low (48%)
At a glance
Our lean
Genk or draw
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KV Mechelen
LWWWW
Genk
LWWWL
Last 3 meetings
KV Mechelen · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, KV Mechelen faces Genk on October 31. Mechelen has shown a mixed form this season, currently sitting mid-table, with a strong defensive record at home, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Genk, however, has been more consistent, often capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 2 goals per game. This clash will likely hinge on whether Mechelen can contain Genk's offensive threat while leveraging their solid home defense to secure points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
25%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
48%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
KV Mechelen
M. van Brederode
4 gls
Genk
R. Durosinmi
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: KV Mechelen vs Genk
1
KV Mechelen Wins
0
Draws
2
Genk Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | KV Mechelen | 2 - 3 | Genk |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Genk | 0 - 1 | KV Mechelen |
| 18 Jan 2025 | KV Mechelen | 1 - 2 | Genk |
KV Mechelen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A OH Leuven | L | 2 - 0 |
| 04 Nov | A Kortrijk | W | 1 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | H Genk | W | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H AS Eupen | W | 5 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | H St. Truiden | W | 4 - 3 |
Genk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | A KV Mechelen | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Standard Liege | W | 2 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Excelsior Virton | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | H Kortrijk | W | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Oct | H Fortuna Sittard | L | 1 - 2 |
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge KV
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 27 |
| 2 |
Charleroi
|
11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 3 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 7 | +22 | 26 |
| 4 |
Gent
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 |
Anderlecht
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 |
Lommel United
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Genk
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |
Standard Liege
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |
KVC Westerlo
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 |
OH Leuven
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |
KV Mechelen
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 |
Zulte Waregem
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |
Antwerp
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |
SK Beveren
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Cercle Brugge
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |
St. Truiden
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 |
RAAL La Louvière
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 |
Kortrijk
|
10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 4 |
KV Mechelen
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Wolf
3
Marsà
2
Marijnissen
20
Corbanie
7
Koudou
30
Decherf
6
Hammar
23
Michez
9
Brederode
19
Lohunanu-Mbasi
14
Raman
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ortwin De Wolf | G |
| 20 | Kobe Corbanie | D |
| 2 | Luc Marijnissen | D |
| 3 | José Marsà | D |
| 23 | Simion Michez | M |
| 6 | Fredrik Hammar | M |
| 30 | Marco Decherf | M |
| 7 | Thérence Koudou | M |
| 9 | Myron Van Brederode | F |
| 14 | Benito Raman | F |
| 19 | Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | Tijn Van Ingelgom | G |
| 39 | Massimo Decoene | M |
| 4 | Gora Diouf | D |
| 17 | Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne | F |
| 26 | Dennis Praet | M |
| 10 | Maxim Kireev | M |
| 11 | Bilal Bafdili | M |
| 21 | Halil Özdemir | F |
| 29 | Bill Antonio | F |
Genk
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
28
Brughmans
18
Kayembe
44
Kongolo
6
Smets
20
Amaro
8
Heynen
4
Tahirović
32
Adedeji-Sternberg
11
Erenbjerg
10
Ito
17
Durosinmi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lucca Brughmans | G |
| 20 | Kevin Amaro | D |
| 6 | Matte Smets | D |
| 44 | Josue Ndenge Kongolo | D |
| 18 | Joris Kayembe | D |
| 4 | Benjamin Tahirović | M |
| 8 | Bryan Heynen | M |
| 10 | Junya Ito | M |
| 11 | Jeppe Erenbjerg | M |
| 32 | Noah Adedeji-Sternberg | M |
| 17 | Rafiu Durosinmi | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Ayumu Yokoyama | F |
| 1 | Tobe Leysen | G |
| 19 | Yaimar Medina | D |
| 25 | Milan Roganović | D |
| 5 | Christiaan Ravych | D |
| 24 | Nikolas Sattlberger | M |
| 21 | Ibrahima Sory Bangoura | M |
| 56 | August De Wannemacker | M |
| 23 | Aaron Bibout | F |