KV Mechelen vs Genk Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10

31 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Genk

Away

AI call Genk or draw

27%

31%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

KV Mechelen vs Genk prediction: Sportiko gives KV Mechelen a 27% chance of winning, Genk 42% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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KV Mechelen

DLLDL

Genk

LDDWD

Last 3 meetings KV Mechelen · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, KV Mechelen faces Genk on October 31. Mechelen has shown a mixed form this season, currently sitting mid-table, with a strong defensive record at home, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Genk, however, has been more consistent, often capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 2 goals per game. This clash will likely hinge on whether Mechelen can contain Genk's offensive threat while leveraging their solid home defense to secure points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Genk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	9	4	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	7	4	2	1
3	2	2	1	1
4		1
5

↑ KV Mechelen goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

KV Mechelen

No scorer data.

Genk

R. Durosinmi 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

31%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

31%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	11.1%	8.6%	3.8%	1.3%
1	8.0%	14.6%	8.7%	3.9%	1.3%
2	4.9%	6.5%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.6%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	KV Mechelen	Draw	Genk
KV Mechelen	15.1%	4.2%	1.9%
Draw	11.0%	20.3%	16.3%
Genk	1.4%	4.3%	25.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: KV Mechelen vs Genk

1 KV Mechelen Wins

0 Draws

2 Genk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Feb 2026	KV Mechelen	2 - 3	Genk
23 Nov 2025	Genk	0 - 1	KV Mechelen
18 Jan 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 2	Genk

See all 10 meetings — Premium

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lommel United	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Anderlecht	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 4
29 Aug	A RAAL La Louvière	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Charleroi	L	2 - 0

Genk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Gent	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Anderlecht	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H SK Beveren	W	4 - 0
22 Aug	A Antwerp	D	4 - 4

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.