Standard Liege vs Charleroi Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Charleroi

Away

AI call Charleroi or draw

22%

33%

45%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Standard Liege vs Charleroi prediction: Sportiko gives Standard Liege a 22% chance of winning, Charleroi 45% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:0 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Standard Liege

LLWWW

Charleroi

WWLWW

Last 3 meetings Standard Liege · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League clash, Standard Liege faces Charleroi. Standard Liege has shown a solid home performance historically, often capitalizing on their attacking prowess, with an average of 1.8 goals per match at home this season. Charleroi, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match away from home. Key players to watch include Standard's leading scorer, who has netted 5 goals this season, and Charleroi's playmaker, who provides crucial assists. This match could hinge on Liege's ability to exploit Charleroi's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

22%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Charleroi goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	14	10	4	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Standard Liege goals · most likely 0–0 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Standard Liege

D. Eckert Ayensa 4 gls

A. Abid 3 gls

Charleroi

F. Situmona Mbemba 3 gls

A. Scheidler 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

33%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

33%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.6%	14.5%	10.1%	4.2%	1.3%
1	8.6%	14.6%	8.1%	3.4%	1.1%
2	4.1%	5.2%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
3	1.1%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Standard Liege	Draw	Charleroi
Standard Liege	12.4%	3.9%	1.7%
Draw	9.7%	22.9%	17.8%
Charleroi	1.0%	3.8%	26.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Standard Liege vs Charleroi

1 Standard Liege Wins

0 Draws

2 Charleroi Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Charleroi	2 - 0	Standard Liege
31 Oct 2025	Standard Liege	3 - 1	Charleroi
04 May 2025	Standard Liege	0 - 1	Charleroi

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Standard Liege — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gent	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A KVC Westerlo	L	4 - 2
05 Sep	H Antwerp	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A OH Leuven	W	1 - 2
21 Aug	H RAAL La Louvière	W	2 - 0

Charleroi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cercle Brugge	W	3 - 2
13 Sep	A Zulte Waregem	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A Kortrijk	W	1 - 3
22 Aug	H KV Mechelen	W	2 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.