Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge Prediction
FT
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
AI call
Difficult Charleroi win or draw
56%
24%
20%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge prediction: Sportiko gives Charleroi a 56% chance of winning, Cercle Brugge 20% and the draw 24%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 18:13.
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Timeline
Freddy Mbemba
assist: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
15'
⚽
1–0
Aurélien Scheidler
assist: Patrick Pflücke
25'
⚽
2–0
⚽
2–1
30'
Dante Vanzeir
assist: Erick Nunes
⇄
34'
Erick Nunes
⇄ Viggo Martens
HT 2–1
⇄
58'
Dante Vanzeir
⇄ Steve Ngoura
⇄
58'
Lazare Amani
⇄ Babatunde Akinsola
Aurélien Scheidler
Penalty
61'
⚽
3–1
Patrick Pflücke
⇄ Gaku Nawata
62'
⇄
🖵
70'
Viggo Martens
Penalty confirmed
⚽
3–2
73'
Steve Ngoura
Penalty
Mardochee Nzita
⇄ Triston Rowe
74'
⇄
Amine Boukamir
⇄ Isaac Ismaël Cissé
74'
⇄
Aurélien Scheidler
⇄ Massamba Sow
81'
⇄
Freddy Mbemba
⇄ Adama Bojang
81'
⇄
⇄
81'
Lukas Mondele
⇄ H. Van der Bruggen
⇄
81'
Krys Kouassi
⇄ Lucas Michal
▮
82'
Ibrahim Diakité
Yellow Card
Yassine Khalifi
Yellow Card
82'
▮
Yellow Card
90'
▮
Aiham Ousou
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
FT 3–2
Charleroi
Match Stats
Cercle Brugge
64%
Ball Possession
36%
14
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Goal
6
4
Shots off Goal
1
3
Blocked Shots
0
9
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
0
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
570
Total passes
315
486
Passes accurate
240
11
Free Kicks
15
Charleroi
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aurélien Scheidler F | 7.8 | 81' | 2 | – | 4 | 15 (10%) | – |
| 8 Jakob Napoleon Romsaas M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 32 (30%) | 1 |
| 20 Freddy Mbemba M | 7.6 | 81' | 1 | – | 3 | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 14 Patrick Pflücke M | 7.0 | 62' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (16%) | 1 |
| 6 Amine Boukamir M | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 63 (58%) | 1 |
| 95 Cheick Keita D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (76%) | 2 |
| 30 Mohamed Koné G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (33%) | – |
| 9 Adama Bojang F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 18 Yassine Khalifi M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (60%) | – |
| 4 Aiham Ousou D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 79 (69%) | 2 |
| 24 Mardochee Nzita D | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 62 (50%) | – |
| 3 Kevin Van Den Kerkhof D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (30%) | – |
| 44 Massamba Sow D | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 13 Gaku Nawata M | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 19 Isaac Ismaël Cissé M | 6.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 2 Triston Rowe D | 5.6 | 16' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
Cercle Brugge
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Steve Ngoura F | 7.5 | 32' | 1 | – | 3 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 13 Dante Vanzeir F | 7.5 | 58' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 1 Gaëtan Coucke G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | – |
| 24 Geoffrey Kondo D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 2 |
| 8 Erick Nunes D | 6.5 | 34' | – | 1 | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 22 Lucas Michal F | 6.4 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 12 Valy Konaté D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (24%) | 3 |
| 41 Krys Kouassi F | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | 1 |
| 30 Babatunde Akinsola F | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 33 Royer Caicedo D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | 1 |
| 2 Ibrahim Diakité D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 3 |
| 71 Viggo Martens M | 6.0 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 Lazare Amani M | 5.8 | 58' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 28 H. Van der Bruggen M | 5.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 42 Lukas Mondele M | 5.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 1 |
| 15 Gary Magnee M | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (12%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Charleroi win or draw
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Charleroi
WWLWW
Cercle Brugge
LDLLL
Last 3 meetings
Charleroi · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, Charleroi will face Cercle Brugge. Charleroi has shown a solid home form, with a current home win rate of 60% this season, while Cercle Brugge has struggled on the road, obtaining only 30% of possible points away from home. Both teams have a balanced head-to-head record, but Charleroi's recent form, including a strong offensive output averaging 1.8 goals per match, may give them an edge. Cercle Brugge will need to tighten their defense, which has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game, to challenge for a positive result.
Live insights
75'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 3-2. Charleroi win: 89.1%. BTTS: 100%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Charleroi leads 3-2. Win probability: 89.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10.9%.
64'
Goal
85% sure
Charleroi now leads 3-1 with 97.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 55.8%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 2-1. Charleroi leads. Win probability: 82.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.1%.
31'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 2-1. Charleroi win: 82.3%. BTTS: 100%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
20%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Charleroi
F. Situmona Mbemba
3 gls
A. Scheidler
3 gls
Cercle Brugge
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
1
Charleroi Wins
1
Draws
1
Cercle Brugge Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2026 | Charleroi | 3 - 4 | Cercle Brugge |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Cercle Brugge | 2 - 3 | Charleroi |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Charleroi | 1 - 1 | Cercle Brugge |
Charleroi — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Cercle Brugge | W | 3 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A Zulte Waregem | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Union St. Gilloise | L | 2 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | A Kortrijk | W | 1 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | H KV Mechelen | W | 2 - 0 |
Cercle Brugge — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Charleroi | L | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A OH Leuven | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Gent | L | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | H Lommel United | L | 0 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | A Club Brugge KV | L | 1 - 0 |
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | +18 | 19 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |
Club Brugge KV
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 18 |
| 4 |
Charleroi
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |
Anderlecht
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |
Zulte Waregem
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |
Standard Liege
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |
KVC Westerlo
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 |
SK Beveren
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Genk
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |
St. Truiden
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |
Lommel United
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Antwerp
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |
RAAL La Louvière
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 |
OH Leuven
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Kortrijk
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 3 |
| 17 |
Cercle Brugge
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |
KV Mechelen
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
Charleroi
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
30
Koné
24
Nzita
95
Keita
4
Ousou
3
Kerkhof
6
Boukamir
18
Khalifi
20
Mbemba
8
Romsaas
14
Pflücke
21
Scheidler
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | M. Koné | G |
| 3 | K. Van Den Kerkhof | D |
| 4 | A. Ousou | D |
| 95 | C. Keita | D |
| 24 | M. Nzita | D |
| 18 | Y. Khalifi | M |
| 6 | A. Boukamir | M |
| 14 | P. Pflücke | M |
| 8 | J. Romsaas | M |
| 20 | F. Situmona Mbemba | M |
| 21 | A. Scheidler | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | M. Delavallée | G |
| 33 | N. Solheid | D |
| 44 | M. Sow | D |
| 51 | Mory Kera | M |
| 13 | G. Nawata | M |
| 2 | T. Rowe | D |
| 9 | A. Bojang | F |
| 25 | A. Colassin | F |
| 19 | I. Cisse | M |
Cercle Brugge
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: L. Friis
1
Coucke
12
Konaté
33
Caicedo
24
Kondo
2
Diakité
8
Erick
15
Magnée
42
Mondele
10
Amani
41
Kouassi
13
Vanzeir
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Coucke | G |
| 8 | Erick | D |
| 2 | I. Diakité | D |
| 24 | G. Kondo | D |
| 33 | R. Caicedo | D |
| 12 | V. Konaté | D |
| 10 | L. Amani | M |
| 42 | L. Mondele | M |
| 15 | G. Magnée | M |
| 13 | D. Vanzeir | F |
| 41 | K. Kouassi | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | B. Akinsola | F |
| 5 | Emmanuel Kakou | D |
| 3 | Yago Lincoln | D |
| 21 | Y. Lienard | G |
| 28 | H. Van der Bruggen | M |
| 22 | L. Michal | F |
| 7 | Abdoul Ouattara | F |
| 9 | S. Ngoura | F |
| 71 | V. Martens | M |