Antwerp vs St. Truiden Prediction

Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
AI call Antwerp or draw
45%
27%
28%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Antwerp vs St. Truiden prediction: Sportiko gives Antwerp a 45% chance of winning, St. Truiden 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline

Luca Schelfhout Yellow Card
2' ▮
⚽ 0–1 9'
Ryotaro Araki
▮ 28'
Léo Kokubo Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Luca Schelfhout ⇄ Maxime Busi
46' ⇄
Luis Narh ⇄ Snayder Porozo
46' ⇄
Snayder Porozo
58' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 61'
⇄ Samed Baždar
Ibrahim Salah ⇄ Xander Dierckx
66' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 73'
Samed Baždar assist: Ryan Merlen
Thibo Somers ⇄ Geoffry Hairemans
75' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Arbnor Muja ⇄ Kaito Matsuzawa
⇄ 75'
Ryotaro Araki ⇄ Nelson Ishiwatari
⚽ 1–3 76'
Kaito Matsuzawa assist: Ryan Merlen
▮ 78'
Ryan Merlen Yellow Card
▮ 79'
Samed Baždar Yellow Card
Christopher Scott ⇄ Jeff Godelaine
81' ⇄
⚽ 1–4 90'
Samed Baždar assist: Ilias Sebaoui
⇄ 90+3'
Ryan Merlen ⇄ Shion Shinkawa
FT 1–4
Antwerp

Match Stats

St. Truiden
58% Ball Possession 42%
0.61 Expected Goals (xG) 2.60
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 11
7 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Corner Kicks 1
2 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
389 Total passes 290
330 Passes accurate 208
85% Passes % 72%
-0.47 goals_prevented -0.47
Antwerp
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
33 Snayder Porozo M 7.2 42' 1 – 1 10 (9%) –
44 Maxime Busi D 7.0 42' – – – 22 (18%) 4
28 Luca Schelfhout D 6.9 45' – – 1 19 (16%) 1
10 Christopher Scott M 6.9 81' – – 3 38 (34%) 2
4 Yuto Tsunashima D 6.7 87' – – 1 62 (59%) 1
11 Geoffry Hairemans M 6.7 12' – – – 11 (8%) 1
24 Thibo Somers M 6.6 75' – – 1 22 (16%) 1
9 Michael Frey F 6.5 87' – – 1 23 (17%) –
14 Xander Dierckx M 6.3 21' – – – 6 (4%) 1
77 Ibrahim Salah M 6.2 66' – – 1 23 (21%) –
20 Rein Van Helden D 6.2 87' – – – 60 (52%) 1
25 Modibo Fofana M 6.2 87' – – – 28 (26%) –
99 Luis Narh F 6.2 45' – – 3 6 (3%) 1
41 Taishi Brandon Nozawa G 5.9 87' – – – 20 (15%) –
27 Eran Tuypens D 5.9 87' – – 1 38 (31%) 2
29 Jeff Godelaine F — 6' – – – 1 (1%) –
St. Truiden
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
71 Ryotaro Araki M 8.2 75' 1 – 1 25 (23%) 2
26 Visar Musliu D 7.9 87' – – – 38 (32%) 3
9 Samed Baždar F 7.6 26' 1 – 1 4 (2%) –
38 Kaito Matsuzawa F 7.6 12' 1 – 1 2 (2%) –
7 Arbnor Muja M 7.6 75' – – 3 20 (12%) 5
14 Ryan Merlen M 7.2 87' – 2 – 29 (19%) 2
60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael D 6.9 87' – – 1 34 (27%) 1
18 Nelson Ishiwatari M 6.7 12' – – – 6 (5%) –
77 Oumar Diouf F 6.7 61' – – 1 10 (5%) 2
16 Léo Kokubo G 6.6 87' – – – 32 (19%) –
8 Abdoulaye Sissako M 6.6 87' – – 1 33 (28%) 3
3 Taiga Hata D 6.5 87' – – – 17 (6%) 2
5 Shogo Taniguchi D 6.2 87' – – 1 23 (16%) –
10 Ilias Sebaoui M 5.9 87' – – 5 17 (12%) 1
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
Antwerp or draw
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Antwerp
LLLLD
St. Truiden
LLWLW
Last 3 meetings Antwerp · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Antwerp will face St. Truiden in a Jupiler Pro League match on August 30, 2026. Antwerp has shown solid form in recent matches, with a strong home record, securing points through a robust defense and effective attacking play. St. Truiden, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, particularly in away games, often conceding goals that have undermined their efforts. Key players for both sides will need to perform to swing the match in their favor, making set pieces and defensive organization crucial for success. Expect a competitive encounter as both teams vie for vital points in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
28%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Antwerp
M. Frey 4 gls
A. Valencia 3 gls
St. Truiden
S. Baždar 4 gls
R. Merlen 3 gls

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Head to Head: Antwerp vs St. Truiden

1 Antwerp Wins
1 Draws
1 St. Truiden Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Feb 2026 Antwerp 1 - 0 St. Truiden
02 Nov 2025 St. Truiden 1 - 0 Antwerp
24 Jan 2025 St. Truiden 1 - 1 Antwerp
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Antwerp — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Union St. Gilloise L 0 - 2
13 Sep A Club Brugge KV L 3 - 1
05 Sep A Standard Liege L 1 - 0
30 Aug H St. Truiden L 1 - 4
22 Aug H Genk D 4 - 4

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H KVC Westerlo L 0 - 2
12 Sep A SK Beveren L 2 - 0
05 Sep H RAAL La Louvière W 4 - 0
02 Sep H Union St. Gilloise L 0 - 3
30 Aug A Antwerp W 1 - 4

Jupiler Pro League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise
7 6 1 0 +18 19
2
Gent
7 6 1 0 +9 19
3
Club Brugge KV
7 6 0 1 +12 18
4
Charleroi
7 6 0 1 +8 18
5
Anderlecht
7 4 1 2 +2 13
6
Zulte Waregem
7 3 2 2 +3 11
7
Standard Liege
7 3 2 2 +1 11
8
KVC Westerlo
7 3 1 3 -1 10
9
SK Beveren
7 3 0 4 -4 9
10
Genk
7 2 3 2 +1 9
11
St. Truiden
7 2 2 3 0 8
12
Lommel United
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Antwerp
7 2 1 4 -4 7
14
RAAL La Louvière
7 1 1 5 -7 4
15
OH Leuven
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Kortrijk
7 1 0 6 -13 3
17
Cercle Brugge
7 0 3 4 -6 3
18
KV Mechelen
7 0 3 4 -9 3

St. Truiden

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
16 Kokubo
3 Hata
26 Musliu
5 Taniguchi
60 Vanwesemael
14 Merlen
8 Sissako
10 Sebaoui
71 Araki
7 Muja
77 Diouf

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Léo Kokubo G
60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael D
5 Shogo Taniguchi D
26 Visar Musliu D
3 Taiga Hata D
8 Abdoulaye Sissako M
14 Ryan Merlen M
7 Arbnor Muja M
71 Ryotaro Araki M
10 Ilias Sebaoui M
77 Oumar Diouf F

Substitutes

9 Samed Baždar F
21 Matt Lendfers G
23 Joedrick Pupe D
22 Wolke Janssens D
18 Nelson Ishiwatari M
31 Ben Achour Ilyes M
33 Alouis Diriken M
99 Shion Shinkawa M
38 Kaito Matsuzawa F

Antwerp

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Marvin Compper
41 Nozawa
27 Tuypens
20 Helden
4 Tsunashima
28 Schelfhout
24 Somers
10 Scott
25 Fofana
77 Salah
99 Narh
9 Frey

Starting XI

# Player Pos
41 Taishi Brandon Nozawa G
28 Luca Schelfhout D
4 Yuto Tsunashima D
20 Rein Van Helden D
27 Eran Tuypens D
77 Ibrahim Salah M
25 Modibo Fofana M
10 Christopher Scott M
24 Thibo Somers M
9 Michael Frey F
99 Luis Narh F

Substitutes

44 Maxime Busi D
33 Snayder Porozo M
14 Xander Dierckx M
81 Niels Devalckeneer G
17 Semm Renders D
16 Louie Van Gelder M
29 Jeff Godelaine F
11 Geoffry Hairemans M

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