Gent vs OH Leuven Prediction

Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Planet Group Arena, Gent
AI call Difficult Gent win or draw
56%
26%
18%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Gent vs OH Leuven prediction: Sportiko gives Gent a 56% chance of winning, OH Leuven 18% and the draw 26%. Last updated 3 Sep 2026, 20:31.

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Timeline

HT 0–0
Tiago Araújo
46' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 57'
Davis Opoku ⇄ Abdoul Karim Traoré
▮ 58'
Wouter George Yellow Card
Mathias Delorge ⇄ Tibe De Vlieger
64' ⇄
László Bénes ⇄ Michel Ange Balikwisha
64' ⇄
Kyrell Wilson ⇄ Matties Volckaert
64' ⇄
Siebe Van Der Heyden Yellow Card
65' ▮
⇄ 67'
Łukasz Łakomy ⇄ Kyan Vaesen
⇄ 67'
Shin Yamada ⇄ Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Momodou Sonko ⇄ El Hadji Seck
74' ⇄
▮ 76'
Óscar Gil Yellow Card
⇄ 76'
Wouter George ⇄ Takuya Ogiwara
⇄ 77'
Noë Dussenne ⇄ Bryang Kayo
Josué Vergara ⇄ Aimé Omgba
88' ⇄
FT 1–0
Gent

Match Stats

OH Leuven
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Goal 1
10 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Corner Kicks 1
2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
390 Total passes 542
313 Passes accurate 466
8 Free Kicks 10
Gent
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Tiago Araújo M 8.2 90' 1 – 3 41 (34%) 2
16 Christian Burgess D 7.7 90' – – 1 46 (45%) 1
5 Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom D 7.4 90' – – 1 65 (54%) 2
17 Mathias Delorge M 7.2 64' – – 1 42 (37%) 3
44 Siebe Van Der Heyden D 7.1 90' – – 2 46 (40%) –
22 Leonardo Lopes M 7.0 90' – – – 29 (27%) 1
57 Matties Volckaert D 6.9 26' – – – 5 (2%) 1
27 Tibe De Vlieger M 6.9 26' – – 1 9 (4%) 3
10 Aimé Omgba M 6.8 2' – – – – –
8 László Bénes M 6.7 64' – – 1 19 (14%) 2
7 Michel Ange Balikwisha F 6.6 26' – – – 9 (7%) –
33 Davy Roef G 6.5 90' – – – 24 (15%) –
14 Kyrell Wilson M 6.4 64' – – 1 23 (15%) 1
59 El Hadji Seck F 6.4 16' – – – 3 (1%) –
11 Momodou Sonko M 6.3 74' – – 4 20 (13%) 3
47 Josué Vergara F 6.0 88' – – – 8 (5%) –
OH Leuven
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Ewoud Pletinckx D 7.4 90' – – – 79 (74%) 2
5 Jamie Lawrence D 7.2 90' – – 1 80 (72%) 1
48 Bryang Kayo M 7.0 13' – – – 16 (16%) –
3 Noë Dussenne D 6.9 77' – – – 67 (58%) –
16 Dani van den Heuvel G 6.8 90' – – – 26 (20%) –
99 Davis Opoku M 6.8 57' – – 1 34 (30%) 2
21 William Balikwisha F 6.7 90' – – 1 25 (18%) 2
19 Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi F 6.6 23' – – – – –
9 Abdoul Karim Traoré F 6.5 33' – – 1 21 (18%) –
26 Takuya Ogiwara D 6.5 14' – – – 10 (6%) –
27 Óscar Gil M 6.4 90' – – – 55 (48%) 1
4 Birger Verstraete M 6.4 90' – – – 53 (45%) 1
20 Shin Yamada F 6.4 67' – – 1 9 (6%) –
6 Wouter George M 6.3 76' – – 2 34 (28%) 4
24 Łukasz Łakomy F 6.2 67' – – – 22 (20%) 1
17 Kyan Vaesen F 5.9 23' – – – 3 (1%) 1
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Gent win or draw
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Gent
WDWWW
OH Leuven
WDLLL
Last 3 meetings Gent · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Gent will face OH Leuven in a Jupiler Pro League clash on August 22, 2026. Historically, Gent has shown strong home performances, with a high win percentage and a solid defensive record at their ground. OH Leuven, however, has been competitive this season, often relying on quick transitions and set-piece efficiency. Key player matchups, particularly in midfield and defense, could dictate the flow of the game. Analyzing both teams’ recent form and statistics suggests Gent may have the edge, but OH Leuven's resilience could lead to a tightly contested match.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Gent
J. Y. Vergara Ortega 3 gls
OH Leuven

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Gent vs OH Leuven

0 Gent Wins
1 Draws
2 OH Leuven Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Feb 2026 Gent 1 - 3 OH Leuven
02 Nov 2025 OH Leuven 4 - 0 Gent
26 Jan 2025 OH Leuven 0 - 0 Gent
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Gent — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Standard Liege W 2 - 1
13 Sep A Genk D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Cercle Brugge W 0 - 3
03 Sep H OH Leuven W 1 - 0
30 Aug H Club Brugge KV W 2 - 1

OH Leuven — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H RAAL La Louvière W 2 - 0
12 Sep H Cercle Brugge D 1 - 1
06 Sep A SK Beveren L 3 - 0
03 Sep A Gent L 1 - 0
29 Aug H Standard Liege L 1 - 2

Jupiler Pro League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise
7 6 1 0 +18 19
2
Gent
7 6 1 0 +9 19
3
Club Brugge KV
7 6 0 1 +12 18
4
Charleroi
7 6 0 1 +8 18
5
Anderlecht
7 4 1 2 +2 13
6
Zulte Waregem
7 3 2 2 +3 11
7
Standard Liege
7 3 2 2 +1 11
8
KVC Westerlo
7 3 1 3 -1 10
9
SK Beveren
7 3 0 4 -4 9
10
Genk
7 2 3 2 +1 9
11
St. Truiden
7 2 2 3 0 8
12
Lommel United
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Antwerp
7 2 1 4 -4 7
14
RAAL La Louvière
7 1 1 5 -7 4
15
OH Leuven
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Kortrijk
7 1 0 6 -13 3
17
Cercle Brugge
7 0 3 4 -6 3
18
KV Mechelen
7 0 3 4 -9 3

OH Leuven

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: T. Simons
16 Heuvel
28 Pletinckx
3 Dussenne
5 Lawrence
99 Opoku
4 Verstraete
6 George
27 Gil
24 Łakomy
20 Yamada
21 Balikwisha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 D. van den Heuvel G
5 J. Lawrence D
3 N. Dussenne D
28 E. Pletinckx D
27 Óscar Gil M
6 W. George M
4 B. Verstraete M
99 D. Opoku M
21 W. Balikwisha F
20 S. Yamada F
24 Ł. Łakomy F

Substitutes

80 Matteo Heremans M
19 C. Ikwuemesi F
61 O. Jochmans G
48 B. Kayo M
72 S. Murru M
26 T. Ogiwara D
9 A. Traoré F
17 K. Vaesen F
34 R. Nyakossi D

Gent

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: R. Demil
33 Roef
44 Heyden
16 Burgess
5 Ngom
20 Araújo
22 Lopes
17 Delorge-Knieper
14 Wilson
11 Sonko
8 Bénes
47 Ortega

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngom D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
14 Kyrell Wilson M
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
20 Tiago Araújo M
8 L. Bénes M
11 M. Sonko M
47 J. Y. Vergara Ortega F

Substitutes

57 M. Volckaert D
27 T. De Vlieger M
39 A. Ayindé D
37 A. Kadri M
7 M. Balikwisha F
10 A. Omgba M
3 M. Paskotši D
30 K. Peersman G
59 E. Seck F

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