Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 3

22 Aug 2026, 16:15

Post on X

KV Mechelen

Away

Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi

AI call Charleroi or draw

48%

30%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction: Sportiko gives Charleroi a 48% chance of winning, KV Mechelen 22% and the draw 30%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:51.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Charleroi

LDLLL

KV Mechelen

DLWLW

Last 3 meetings Charleroi · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Charleroi will face KV Mechelen in a Jupiler Pro League matchup on August 22, 2026. Charleroi has shown a solid home record but will need to maintain their defensive discipline, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. KV Mechelen, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, winning only 40% of their away games this season while struggling to convert chances. The match will likely hinge on Charleroi's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities and Mechelen's defensive organization. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KV Mechelen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	4	1
1	12	14	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Charleroi goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

30%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

30%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	7.1%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.2%	14.2%	5.7%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.9%	9.0%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%
3	4.8%	4.3%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Charleroi	Draw	KV Mechelen
Charleroi	29.2%	4.1%	1.2%
Draw	17.7%	19.9%	9.3%
KV Mechelen	2.0%	4.1%	12.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

0 Charleroi Wins

1 Draws

2 KV Mechelen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Dec 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 0	Charleroi
28 Sep 2025	Charleroi	0 - 2	KV Mechelen
18 May 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 1	Charleroi

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Charleroi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 3
25 Jul	A Lens	D	2 - 2
17 Jul	A Feyenoord	L	3 - 1
22 Mar	A Zulte Waregem	L	1 - 0
14 Mar	H OH Leuven	L	0 - 2

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Dunkerque	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	A Willem II	L	1 - 0
15 Jul	A Heist	W	0 - 1
22 Mar	A Club Brugge KV	L	4 - 1
15 Mar	H Anderlecht	W	1 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Club Brugge KV	1	1	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	OH Leuven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Lommel United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Cercle Brugge	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Standard Liege	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Zulte Waregem	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	KVC Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Union St. Gilloise	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	SK Beveren	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	RAAL La Louvière	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kortrijk	1	0	1	0	3	-3	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.