Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
AI call Difficult Charleroi win or draw
55%
26%
19%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction: Sportiko gives Charleroi a 55% chance of winning, KV Mechelen 19% and the draw 26%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline

Aiham Ousou assist: Patrick Pflücke
35' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Patrick Pflücke ⇄ Freddy Mbemba
62' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi ⇄ Bilal Bafdili
⇄ 66'
Benito Raman ⇄ Adeshina Ayodele
Amine Boukamir ⇄ Isaac Ismaël Cissé
74' ⇄
Aurélien Scheidler ⇄ Antoine Colassin
74' ⇄
⇄ 76'
⇄ Keano Vanrafelghem
⇄ 76'
Dennis Praet ⇄ Maxim Kireev
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof assist: Antoine Colassin
77' ⚽ 2–0
Antoine Bernier ⇄ Massamba Sow
88' ⇄
Mardochee Nzita ⇄ Adama Bojang
88' ⇄
FT 2–0
Charleroi

Match Stats

KV Mechelen
61% Ball Possession 39%
1.09 Expected Goals (xG) 0.18
9 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Corner Kicks 1
Offsides
5 Fouls 9
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
465 Total passes 294
390 Passes accurate 226
84% Passes % 77%
-0.07 goals_prevented -0.07
Charleroi
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Aiham Ousou D 8.3 69' 1 – 2 58 (53%) 2
3 Kevin Van Den Kerkhof D 7.5 69' – – – 37 (32%) 4
95 Cheick Keita D 7.3 69' – – – 51 (47%) 2
24 Mardochee Nzita D 7.0 69' – – 1 41 (32%) 3
14 Patrick Pflücke M 7.0 62' – 1 – 30 (28%) 1
8 Jakob Napoleon Romsaas M 7.0 69' – – 1 33 (28%) 2
30 Mohamed Koné G 6.9 69' – – – 31 (23%) –
6 Amine Boukamir M 6.9 69' – – – 64 (56%) 2
18 Yassine Khalifi M 6.6 69' – – – 68 (56%) 1
17 Antoine Bernier M 6.3 69' – – 2 28 (21%) –
21 Aurélien Scheidler F 6.3 69' – – 1 24 (14%) 1
20 Freddy Mbemba F — 7' – – – – –
KV Mechelen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne M 7.2 69' – – – 25 (18%) 4
3 José Marsà D 6.9 69' – – – 50 (38%) 2
2 Luc Marijnissen D 6.7 69' – – – 28 (26%) –
13 Nacho Miras G 6.6 69' – – – 28 (20%) –
39 Massimo Decoene D 6.5 69' – – – 37 (27%) 1
6 Fredrik Hammar M 6.5 69' – – – 31 (25%) 4
26 Dennis Praet M 6.5 69' – – – 25 (17%) –
9 Myron Van Brederode F 6.3 69' – – – 21 (18%) 2
7 Thérence Koudou M 6.3 69' – – 1 28 (22%) 1
19 Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi F 6.3 65' – – – 8 (7%) 1
14 Benito Raman F 6.2 65' – – 1 13 (8%) 1
11 Bilal Bafdili M — 4' – – – – –
16 Adeshina Ayodele F — 4' – – – – –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Charleroi win or draw
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Charleroi
WWLWW
KV Mechelen
DLLDL
Last 3 meetings Charleroi · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Charleroi will face KV Mechelen in a Jupiler Pro League matchup on August 22, 2026. Charleroi has shown a solid home record but will need to maintain their defensive discipline, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. KV Mechelen, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, winning only 40% of their away games this season while struggling to convert chances. The match will likely hinge on Charleroi's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities and Mechelen's defensive organization. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Charleroi
F. Situmona Mbemba 3 gls
A. Scheidler 3 gls
KV Mechelen

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

0 Charleroi Wins
1 Draws
2 KV Mechelen Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Dec 2025 KV Mechelen 1 - 0 Charleroi
28 Sep 2025 Charleroi 0 - 2 KV Mechelen
18 May 2025 KV Mechelen 1 - 1 Charleroi
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Charleroi — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Cercle Brugge W 3 - 2
13 Sep A Zulte Waregem W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Union St. Gilloise L 2 - 3
29 Aug A Kortrijk W 1 - 3
22 Aug H KV Mechelen W 2 - 0

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Lommel United D 0 - 0
11 Sep H Anderlecht L 0 - 1
05 Sep H KVC Westerlo L 0 - 4
29 Aug A RAAL La Louvière D 2 - 2
22 Aug A Charleroi L 2 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise
7 6 1 0 +18 19
2
Gent
7 6 1 0 +9 19
3
Club Brugge KV
7 6 0 1 +12 18
4
Charleroi
7 6 0 1 +8 18
5
Anderlecht
7 4 1 2 +2 13
6
Zulte Waregem
7 3 2 2 +3 11
7
Standard Liege
7 3 2 2 +1 11
8
KVC Westerlo
7 3 1 3 -1 10
9
SK Beveren
7 3 0 4 -4 9
10
Genk
7 2 3 2 +1 9
11
St. Truiden
7 2 2 3 0 8
12
Lommel United
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Antwerp
7 2 1 4 -4 7
14
RAAL La Louvière
7 1 1 5 -7 4
15
OH Leuven
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Kortrijk
7 1 0 6 -13 3
17
Cercle Brugge
7 0 3 4 -6 3
18
KV Mechelen
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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