Genk vs KVC Westerlo Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

KVC Westerlo

Away

Cegeka Arena, Genk

AI call Difficult Genk win or draw

60%

24%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Genk vs KVC Westerlo prediction: Sportiko gives Genk a 60% chance of winning, KVC Westerlo 16% and the draw 24%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 00:03.

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1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

Dylan Ourega assist: Cameron Congreve

Rafiu Durosinmi Yellow Card

8' ▮

⚽ 0–2 13'

Matte Smets Own Goal

Jeppe Erenbjerg Yellow Card

36' ▮

Rafiu Durosinmi Penalty

41' ⚽ 1–2

Bryan Heynen assist: Ayumu Yokoyama

43' ⚽ 2–2

HT 2–2

▮ 61'

Cameron Congreve Yellow Card

⇄ 66'

Cameron Congreve ⇄ Reda Laalaoui

⇄ 66'

Norman Bassette

Rafiu Durosinmi ⇄ Aaron Bibout

70' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Lucas Mbamba ⇄ Lasse Flø

▮ 74'

Reda Laalaoui Yellow Card

Jeppe Erenbjerg

75' ⇄

Ibrahima Sory Bangoura ⇄ Daan Heymans

76' ⇄

▮ 77'

Yellow Card

Aaron Bibout

79' ⚽ 3–2

Bryan Heynen ⇄ Nikolas Sattlberger

83' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Ibrahim Fofana

⇄ 85'

⇄ Amando Lapage

Yellow Card

87' ▮

FT 3–2

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Genk win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Genk

LDDWD

KVC Westerlo

WWWDL

Last 3 meetings Genk · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Genk enters this match against KVC Westerlo with a strong home record, having secured 75% of their points at home last season. They are known for their attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per game at home. Conversely, Westerlo has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Given Genk's offensive capabilities and Westerlo's defensive vulnerabilities, the home team is favored to dominate possession and create more goal-scoring opportunities. However, Westerlo will need to capitalize on counter-attacks to pose a threat.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KVC Westerlo goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	5	2
1	14	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Genk goals · most likely 1–0 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Genk

R. Durosinmi 5 gls

KVC Westerlo

N. Bassette 4 gls

S. Saito 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	4.5%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	14.4%	11.7%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.9%	9.2%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
3	8.2%	5.4%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.6%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genk	Draw	KVC Westerlo
Genk	46.4%	4.0%	0.8%
Draw	16.2%	16.9%	5.6%
KVC Westerlo	1.3%	2.5%	6.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genk vs KVC Westerlo

2 Genk Wins

1 Draws

0 KVC Westerlo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Dec 2025	Genk	1 - 1	KVC Westerlo
02 Nov 2025	KVC Westerlo	0 - 1	Genk
25 Jan 2025	KVC Westerlo	1 - 2	Genk

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Genk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Gent	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Anderlecht	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H SK Beveren	W	4 - 0
22 Aug	A Antwerp	D	4 - 4

KVC Westerlo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Standard Liege	W	4 - 2
05 Sep	A KV Mechelen	W	0 - 4
30 Aug	H Zulte Waregem	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Lommel United	L	4 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.