Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Zulte Waregem

Away

Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

AI call Union St. Gilloise to win or draw

69%

19%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem prediction: Sportiko gives Union St. Gilloise a 69% chance of winning, Zulte Waregem 12% and the draw 19%. Last updated 15 Aug 2026, 16:00.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Home 2H Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

Kevin Mac Allister Yellow Card

30' ▮

HT 0–0

Besfort Zeneli ⇄ Relebohile Mofokeng

62' ⇄

Raul Florucz

63' ⇄

Fedde Leysen Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 71'

Tobias Hedl ⇄ István Átrok

⇄ 71'

Serxho Ujka ⇄ Nikola Mituljikić

⇄ 71'

Wilguens Paugain ⇄ Franz Tangala

Rob Schoofs ⇄ Adem Zorgane

71' ⇄

Louis Patris ⇄ Ousseynou Niang

71' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Marley Aké ⇄ Tristan Panduro

⇄ 90+1'

Anosike Ementa ⇄ Kewan Vemba

▮ 90+4'

Yellow Card

▮ 90+4'

Red Card

FT 0–0

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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Our lean

Union St. Gilloise to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 11%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Zulte Waregem

LLWDW

Last 3 meetings Union St. Gilloise · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Union St. Gilloise faces Zulte Waregem in a Jupiler Pro League clash that highlights two contrasting styles. Union has shown strong attacking form, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season, while Zulte Waregem struggles defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Key players to watch include Union's prolific forward, who has netted 6 goals in the last 5 games, and Zulte's goalkeeper, who will need to step up to contain the threats. The match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Zulte Waregem goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	3	2	1
1	8	10	4	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	9	8	4	1
4	5	5	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Union St. Gilloise goals · most likely 2–0 (11.0%)

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Players in form

Union St. Gilloise

R. Florucz 4 gls

R. Mofokeng 3 gls

Zulte Waregem

Á. Zalán 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

19%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

19%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	2.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	8.3%	9.6%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.0%	10.0%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	8.6%	7.8%	3.5%	1.1%	0.2%
4	5.0%	4.6%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

28%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union St. Gilloise	Draw	Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise	45.2%	3.4%	1.0%
Draw	20.9%	12.0%	5.1%
Zulte Waregem	3.0%	3.2%	6.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

3 Union St. Gilloise Wins

0 Draws

0 Zulte Waregem Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Dec 2025	Union St. Gilloise	2 - 0	Zulte Waregem
01 Nov 2025	Zulte Waregem	1 - 4	Union St. Gilloise
05 Feb 2023	Union St. Gilloise	4 - 0	Zulte Waregem

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

Zulte Waregem — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Anderlecht	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Charleroi	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Kortrijk	W	0 - 2
30 Aug	A KVC Westerlo	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H SK Beveren	W	4 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.