Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden Prediction

Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
AI call Cercle Brugge or draw
40%
29%
32%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden prediction: Sportiko gives Cercle Brugge a 40% chance of winning, St. Truiden 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 14 Aug 2026, 20:42.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 1'
Ryan Merlen assist: Ilias Sebaoui
▮ 18'
Nelson Ishiwatari Yellow Card
Steve Ngoura
28' ⚽ 1–1
⚽ 1–2 37'
Ryan Merlen assist: Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
HT 1–2
⚽ 1–3 47'
Nelson Ishiwatari assist: Ilias Sebaoui
▮ 57'
Joedrick Pupe Yellow Card
Emmanuel Kakou ⇄ Lucas Michal
62' ⇄
Viggo Martens ⇄ Erick Nunes
73' ⇄
Dante Vanzeir ⇄ Ibrahim Diakité
73' ⇄
▮ 79'
Loïc Mbe Soh Yellow Card
Steve Ngoura ⇄ Krys Kouassi
81' ⇄
Lukas Mondele ⇄ Lazare Amani
81' ⇄
Erick Nunes
82' ⚽ 2–3
⇄ 87'
Ryan Merlen
⇄ 87'
⇄ Shogo Taniguchi
⇄ 87'
Nelson Ishiwatari ⇄ Wolke Janssens
Krys Kouassi assist: Erick Nunes
90+3' ⚽ 3–3
FT 3–3
Cercle Brugge

Match Stats

St. Truiden
53% Ball Possession 47%
2.99 Expected Goals (xG) 0.99
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 4
15 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 4
8 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 4
5 Fouls 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
318 Total passes 286
260 Passes accurate 235
82% Passes % 82%
1.03 goals_prevented 1.03
Cercle Brugge
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Steve Ngoura F 7.6 61' 1 – 3 11 (7%) 1
71 Viggo Martens F 7.2 61' – – 2 20 (14%) –
42 Lukas Mondele M 6.7 61' – – 5 19 (16%) 1
24 Geoffrey Kondo D 6.6 61' – – – 52 (47%) –
12 Valy Konaté M 6.6 61' – – – 36 (30%) –
13 Dante Vanzeir F 6.6 61' – – 2 22 (16%) 1
19 Makaya Ibrahima Diaby M 6.5 61' – – 3 26 (24%) 4
5 Emmanuel Kakou D 6.3 61' – – 1 35 (31%) 1
66 Christiaan Ravych D 6.3 61' – – – 57 (50%) 2
15 Gary Magnee M 6.3 61' – – 1 26 (19%) 1
1 Gaëtan Coucke G 5.6 61' – – – 14 (6%) –
St. Truiden
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Ryan Merlen M 8.3 61' 2 – 2 21 (18%) –
18 Nelson Ishiwatari M 7.9 61' 1 – 2 21 (18%) 4
16 Léo Kokubo G 7.5 61' – – – 34 (29%) –
60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael M 7.3 61' – 1 – 14 (12%) –
10 Ilias Sebaoui M 6.9 61' – 2 – 24 (16%) 1
26 Visar Musliu D 6.6 61' – – – 31 (30%) –
8 Abdoulaye Sissako M 6.6 61' – – 1 32 (30%) 2
4 Loïc Mbe Soh D 6.5 61' – – – 41 (35%) 1
23 Joedrick Pupe D 6.5 61' – – – 34 (23%) –
19 Frederic Soelle Soelle F 6.3 61' – – – 6 (3%) –
3 Taiga Hata D 6.2 61' – – – 28 (21%) –
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean
Cercle Brugge or draw
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Cercle Brugge
LDLLL
St. Truiden
LLWLW
Last 3 meetings Cercle Brugge · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Cercle Brugge will face St. Truiden in a key Jupiler Pro League clash. Historically, Cercle Brugge has shown a strong home record, often capitalizing on their attacking style, averaging 1.5 goals per match last season. St. Truiden, however, has been defensively solid, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on whether St. Truiden’s defense can withstand Cercle Brugge's offensive pressure, while also looking to exploit any vulnerabilities in Brugge's backline. This contest promises an intriguing battle between offensive flair and defensive resilience.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
32%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Cercle Brugge

No scorer data.

St. Truiden
S. Baždar 4 gls
R. Merlen 3 gls

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Head to Head: Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden

1 Cercle Brugge Wins
1 Draws
1 St. Truiden Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Mar 2026 St. Truiden 2 - 1 Cercle Brugge
29 Aug 2025 Cercle Brugge 1 - 1 St. Truiden
26 Apr 2025 Cercle Brugge 3 - 1 St. Truiden
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Cercle Brugge — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Charleroi L 3 - 2
12 Sep A OH Leuven D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Gent L 0 - 3
29 Aug H Lommel United L 0 - 1
23 Aug A Club Brugge KV L 1 - 0

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H KVC Westerlo L 0 - 2
12 Sep A SK Beveren L 2 - 0
05 Sep H RAAL La Louvière W 4 - 0
02 Sep H Union St. Gilloise L 0 - 3
30 Aug A Antwerp W 1 - 4

Jupiler Pro League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise
7 6 1 0 +18 19
2
Gent
7 6 1 0 +9 19
3
Club Brugge KV
7 6 0 1 +12 18
4
Charleroi
7 6 0 1 +8 18
5
Anderlecht
7 4 1 2 +2 13
6
Zulte Waregem
7 3 2 2 +3 11
7
Standard Liege
7 3 2 2 +1 11
8
KVC Westerlo
7 3 1 3 -1 10
9
SK Beveren
7 3 0 4 -4 9
10
Genk
7 2 3 2 +1 9
11
St. Truiden
7 2 2 3 0 8
12
Lommel United
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Antwerp
7 2 1 4 -4 7
14
RAAL La Louvière
7 1 1 5 -7 4
15
OH Leuven
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Kortrijk
7 1 0 6 -13 3
17
Cercle Brugge
7 0 3 4 -6 3
18
KV Mechelen
7 0 3 4 -9 3

St. Truiden

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
16 Kokubo
23 Pupe
26 Musliu
4 Soh
3 Hata
8 Sissako
18 Ishiwatari
10 Sebaoui
14 Merlen
60 Vanwesemael
19 Soelle

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Léo Kokubo G
3 Taiga Hata D
4 Loïc Mbe Soh D
26 Visar Musliu D
23 Joedrick Pupe D
18 Nelson Ishiwatari M
8 Abdoulaye Sissako M
60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael M
14 Ryan Merlen M
10 Ilias Sebaoui M
19 Frederic Soelle Soelle F

Substitutes

21 Matt Lendfers G
22 Wolke Janssens D
5 Shogo Taniguchi D
31 Ben Achour Ilyes M
33 Alouis Diriken M
71 Ryotaro Araki M
99 Shion Shinkawa M
77 Oumar Diouf F
38 Kaito Matsuzawa F

Cercle Brugge

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Lars Friis
1 Coucke
24 Kondo
66 Ravych
5 Kakou
12 Konaté
19 Diaby
42 Mondele
15 Magnee
71 Martens
9 Ngoura
13 Vanzeir

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Gaëtan Coucke G
5 Emmanuel Kakou D
66 Christiaan Ravych D
24 Geoffrey Kondo D
15 Gary Magnee M
42 Lukas Mondele M
19 Makaya Ibrahima Diaby M
12 Valy Konaté M
71 Viggo Martens F
13 Dante Vanzeir F
9 Steve Ngoura F

Substitutes

84 Bas Langenbick G
2 Ibrahim Diakité D
75 Sebbe Gheerardyns D
33 Royer Caicedo D
8 Erick Nunes M
23 Heriberto Jurado F
10 Lazare Amani M
22 Lucas Michal F
41 Krys Kouassi F

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