Charleroi vs OH Leuven Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 1

09 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

OH Leuven

Away

Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi

AI call Charleroi or draw

44%

28%

Home Win · 1.85 Draw · 3.74 Away Win · 4.65

Charleroi vs OH Leuven prediction: Sportiko gives Charleroi a 44% chance of winning, OH Leuven 28% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Charleroi

LDLLL

OH Leuven

LDDWW

Last 3 meetings Charleroi · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Charleroi currently sits mid-table in the Jupiler Pro League, with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last seven matches. Their offensive output has been solid, averaging 1.5 goals per game but they have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.3 goals. OH Leuven, on the other hand, has shown inconsistency, with only 2 wins in their last seven fixtures. Their defense has been particularly vulnerable, allowing an average of 1.7 goals per game. This matchup will likely hinge on Charleroi's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities while maintaining defensive solidity against Leuven's counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

28%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

OH Leuven goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Charleroi goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

28%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

28%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	9.2%	6.9%	2.9%	0.9%
1	8.5%	14.6%	8.2%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.1%	7.7%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.4%	3.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Charleroi	Draw	OH Leuven
Charleroi	18.3%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	13.7%	19.9%	15.4%
OH Leuven	1.8%	4.2%	20.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Charleroi vs OH Leuven

1 Charleroi Wins

1 Draws

1 OH Leuven Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Charleroi	0 - 2	OH Leuven
27 Jul 2025	OH Leuven	2 - 2	Charleroi
24 May 2025	Charleroi	2 - 1	OH Leuven

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Charleroi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 3
25 Jul	A Lens	D	2 - 2
17 Jul	A Feyenoord	L	3 - 1
22 Mar	A Zulte Waregem	L	1 - 0
14 Mar	H OH Leuven	L	0 - 2

OH Leuven — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Lille	L	3 - 6
25 Jul	A Heerenveen	D	4 - 4
11 Jul	A Olympiakos Piraeus	D	0 - 0
22 Mar	H Antwerp	W	1 - 0
14 Mar	A Charleroi	W	0 - 2

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Club Brugge KV	1	1	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	OH Leuven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Lommel United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Cercle Brugge	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Standard Liege	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Zulte Waregem	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	KVC Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Union St. Gilloise	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	SK Beveren	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	RAAL La Louvière	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kortrijk	1	0	1	0	3	-3	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.