Gent vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 1

09 Aug 2026, 11:30

Post on X

KV Mechelen

Away

Planet Group Arena, Gent

AI call Gent or draw

49%

27%

23%

Home Win · 2.02 Draw · 3.66 Away Win · 3.75

Gent vs KV Mechelen prediction: Sportiko gives Gent a 49% chance of winning, KV Mechelen 23% and the draw 27%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Gent

WDDWW

KV Mechelen

DLWLW

Last 3 meetings Gent · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Gent faces KV Mechelen in an intriguing Jupiler Pro League clash. Gent has shown solid form, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, while Mechelen has struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per game. Historically, Gent has a favorable record against Mechelen, winning 60% of their last encounters. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as they rank among the top in the league for free-kick and corner goals. The outcome may hinge on Gent's ability to maintain possession and control the midfield, where they have outperformed Mechelen in recent matches.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KV Mechelen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	12	13	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Gent goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	5.9%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%
1	11.8%	13.4%	5.3%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.7%	9.5%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
3	5.7%	5.1%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.3%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gent	Draw	KV Mechelen
Gent	32.7%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	18.7%	18.3%	8.2%
KV Mechelen	2.2%	3.9%	10.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gent vs KV Mechelen

1 Gent Wins

2 Draws

0 KV Mechelen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	Gent	3 - 1	KV Mechelen
16 Aug 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 1	Gent
07 Feb 2025	KV Mechelen	3 - 3	Gent

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Gent — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A IFK Goteborg	W	0 - 1
30 Jul	H LNZ Cherkasy	D	0 - 0
23 Jul	A LNZ Cherkasy	D	0 - 0
22 Mar	A Dender	W	1 - 3
13 Mar	H Zulte Waregem	W	2 - 0

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Dunkerque	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	A Willem II	L	1 - 0
15 Jul	A Heist	W	0 - 1
22 Mar	A Club Brugge KV	L	4 - 1
15 Mar	H Anderlecht	W	1 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Club Brugge KV	1	1	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	OH Leuven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Lommel United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Cercle Brugge	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Standard Liege	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Zulte Waregem	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	KVC Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Union St. Gilloise	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	SK Beveren	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	RAAL La Louvière	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kortrijk	1	0	1	0	3	-3	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.