Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş Prediction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 26

21 Mar 2027, 18:00

Post on X

Beşiktaş

Away

AI call Başakşehir or draw

44%

31%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş prediction: Sportiko gives Başakşehir a 44% chance of winning, Beşiktaş 25% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Başakşehir

WLLDL

Beşiktaş

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Başakşehir · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the Süper Lig clash between Başakşehir and Beşiktaş, both teams will seek crucial points to strengthen their league position. Başakşehir has demonstrated a solid defensive record this season, conceding an average of just one goal per match, while their attacking unit has shown efficiency with a conversion rate of around 15%. Beşiktaş, on the other hand, has been prolific in front of goal, averaging two goals per match but struggling with defensive consistency, allowing nearly 1.5 goals per game. This matchup could hinge on Başakşehir's ability to contain Beşiktaş's attack while capitalizing on any defensive lapses from their opponents. Expect a tightly contested encounter where tactical discipline will be key.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Beşiktaş goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2
1	11	15	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Başakşehir goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov 6 gls

Beşiktaş

D. Vlahović 5 gls

V. Černý 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

31%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

31%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	7.7%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.3%	14.5%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
2	8.9%	8.8%	4.4%	1.4%	0.4%
3	4.1%	4.0%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Başakşehir	Draw	Beşiktaş
Başakşehir	26.5%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	16.4%	20.1%	9.8%
Beşiktaş	2.1%	4.5%	15.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş

1 Başakşehir Wins

0 Draws

2 Beşiktaş Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	Başakşehir	2 - 3	Beşiktaş
13 Sep 2025	Beşiktaş	2 - 1	Başakşehir
12 Apr 2025	Beşiktaş	0 - 2	Başakşehir

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Başakşehir — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Gençlerbirliği S.K.	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Amed	L	5 - 0
04 Sep	H Galatasaray	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Kasımpaşa	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Trabzonspor	L	2 - 1

Beşiktaş — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Amed	L	3 - 2
17 Sep	H Marseille	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	H Erzurumspor FK	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	W	1 - 2
31 Aug	H Çorum FK	W	6 - 2

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	15	7	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	13	10	+3	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14	7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8	6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16	6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10
8	Kasımpaşa	6	2	4	0	7	5	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13	12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5	13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3	11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	-14	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.