Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 23

28 Feb 2027, 18:00

Post on X

Erzurumspor FK

Away

AI call Erzurumspor FK to win or draw

20%

71%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction: Sportiko gives Samsunspor a 9% chance of winning, Erzurumspor FK 71% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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73% 72% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Samsunspor

LLLLW

Erzurumspor FK

WLWDL

Last 1 meetings Samsunspor · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Süper Lig clash, Samsunspor faces Erzurumspor FK. Samsunspor has shown a solid defensive record this season, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Erzurumspor struggles offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per match. Both teams have a similar possession percentage, around 48%, but Samsunspor has been more effective in creating scoring opportunities, registering an average of 12 shots per game compared to Erzurumspor's 8. This match will be crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Expect Samsunspor to leverage their defensive strength against Erzurumspor's lackluster attack.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Erzurumspor FK goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	14	10	6	3
1	3	10	9	7	4	2
2	1	3	3	2	1	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Samsunspor goals · most likely 0–2 (13.9%)

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

89% Away (No Draw) 11% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Away Scores More 20% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	11.3%	13.9%	10.4%	5.8%
1	2.7%	9.5%	9.5%	7.1%	4.0%
2	1.3%	2.9%	3.2%	2.4%	1.3%
3	0.3%	0.7%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Samsunspor	Draw	Erzurumspor FK
Samsunspor	4.9%	2.8%	2.5%
Draw	3.8%	12.5%	21.7%
Erzurumspor FK	0.6%	2.7%	48.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK

0 Samsunspor Wins

0 Draws

1 Erzurumspor FK Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Erzurumspor FK	1 - 0	Samsunspor

Samsunspor — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Erzurumspor FK	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Çorum FK	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A Kocaelispor	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Fenerbahçe	L	0 - 2
22 Aug	A Rizespor	W	0 - 2

Erzurumspor FK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Samsunspor	W	1 - 0
11 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H Konyaspor	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	A Gençlerbirliği S.K.	D	1 - 1
21 Aug	H Galatasaray	L	0 - 4

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	15	7	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	13	10	+3	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14	7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8	6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16	6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10
8	Kasımpaşa	6	2	4	0	7	5	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13	12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5	13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3	11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	-14	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.