Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 17

17 Jan 2027, 18:00

Post on X

Kasımpaşa

Away

AI call Kocaelispor to win or draw

70%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa prediction: Sportiko gives Kocaelispor a 70% chance of winning, Kasımpaşa 6% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 21%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Kocaelispor

WLWWW

Kasımpaşa

DWDDW

Last 2 meetings Kocaelispor · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Süper Lig clash, Kocaelispor will host Kasımpaşa on January 17, 2027. Kocaelispor's performance has been bolstered by a solid home record, while Kasımpaşa struggles on the road, often finding it difficult to secure points away from home. Kocaelispor has demonstrated a strong attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per match, which could exploit Kasımpaşa's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in away fixtures. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they seek crucial points for their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kasımpaşa goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	3	1
1	21	9	1
2	19	7	1
3	11	4	1
4	5	2
5	2	1

↑ Kocaelispor goals · most likely 1–0 (21.0%)

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Players in form

Kocaelispor

B. Kutlu 2 gls

Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak 4 gls

G. Yalçın 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	3.5%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	21.0%	8.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.8%	6.6%	1.2%	0.1%	0.0%
3	10.7%	3.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	4.6%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kocaelispor	Draw	Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor	45.5%	2.0%	0.2%
Draw	24.5%	18.2%	3.0%
Kasımpaşa	1.3%	2.1%	3.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

70%

25%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa

0 Kocaelispor Wins

2 Draws

0 Kasımpaşa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Kasımpaşa	1 - 1	Kocaelispor
07 Dec 2025	Kocaelispor	0 - 0	Kasımpaşa

Kocaelispor — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Gaziantep FK	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Galatasaray	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Samsunspor	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Konyaspor	W	1 - 2
24 Aug	H Amed	W	2 - 0

Kasımpaşa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Konyaspor	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Gençlerbirliği S.K.	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Amed	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Başakşehir	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Çorum FK	W	0 - 1

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	15	7	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	13	10	+3	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14	7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8	6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16	6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10
8	Kasımpaşa	6	2	4	0	7	5	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13	12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5	13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3	11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	-14	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.