Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe Prediction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 5

Post on X

Fenerbahçe

Away

Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep

AI call Difficult Fenerbahçe win or draw

17%

24%

59%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe prediction: Sportiko gives Gaziantep FK a 17% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe 59% and the draw 24%. Last updated 14 Sep 2026, 18:51.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

Ulrich Meleke Yellow Card

4' ▮

HT 0–0

Halil Dervişoğlu ⇄ Serdar Dursun

60' ⇄

Alexandru Maxim ⇄ Drissa Camara

61' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Mattéo Guendouzi ⇄ İrfan Can Kahveci

⇄ 64'

Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⇄ Oğuz Aydın

⇄ 64'

Romelu Lukaku ⇄ Vedat Muriqi

Deian Sorescu ⇄ Karamba Gassama

69' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Mert Müldür ⇄ Nélson Semedo

Kacper Kozłowski ⇄ Sontje Hansen

82' ⇄

Kerim Çalhanoğlu ⇄ A. Sylla

82' ⇄

▮ 83'

İrfan Can Kahveci Yellow Card

Arda Kızıldağ Yellow Card

83' ▮

▮ 84'

Vedat Muriqi Yellow Card

Myenty Abena Yellow Card

84' ▮

▮ 84'

Oğuz Aydın Yellow Card

⇄ 87'

İsmail Yüksek ⇄ Bartuğ Elmaz

Sontje Hansen Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 0–0

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Fenerbahçe win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Gaziantep FK

LDWLW

Fenerbahçe

WDDLW

Last 3 meetings Gaziantep FK · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In this Süper Lig match, Gaziantep FK faces Fenerbahçe, a clash between a team striving for points and a title contender. Gaziantep FK has shown inconsistency, with a recent record of 2 wins in their last 5 league games, while Fenerbahçe has been in solid form, boasting 4 wins in the same timeframe. The offensive capabilities of Fenerbahçe, highlighted by their top scorer's ability to find the net, will be crucial against a Gaziantep defense that has struggled at times. Key battles in midfield could dictate the game's tempo, making effective possession vital for both teams. Expect Fenerbahçe to leverage their attacking prowess to secure a crucial away victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

59%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fenerbahçe goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	11	7	3	1
1	4	12	10	7	3	1
2	2	5	5	3	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Gaziantep FK goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Players in form

Gaziantep FK

No scorer data.

Fenerbahçe

V. Muriqi 6 gls

M. Greenwood 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

24%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

24%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

78% Away (No Draw) 22% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	9.3%	10.5%	7.0%	3.4%
1	3.8%	11.5%	10.1%	6.7%	3.3%
2	2.5%	4.9%	4.9%	3.2%	1.6%
3	0.8%	1.6%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gaziantep FK	Draw	Fenerbahçe
Gaziantep FK	9.6%	3.6%	2.3%
Draw	6.3%	14.6%	16.9%
Fenerbahçe	1.1%	4.0%	41.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe

0 Gaziantep FK Wins

0 Draws

3 Fenerbahçe Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Mar 2026	Fenerbahçe	4 - 1	Gaziantep FK
04 Mar 2026	Gaziantep FK	0 - 4	Fenerbahçe
27 Oct 2025	Gaziantep FK	0 - 4	Fenerbahçe

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Gaziantep FK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Kocaelispor	L	2 - 0
14 Sep	H Fenerbahçe	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Göztepe	W	2 - 4
29 Aug	H Rizespor	L	1 - 2
23 Aug	A Eyüpspor	W	0 - 1

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Eyüpspor	W	8 - 0
14 Sep	A Gaziantep FK	D	0 - 0
10 Sep	H AS Roma	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Beşiktaş	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Samsunspor	W	0 - 2

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	15	7	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	13	10	+3	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14	7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8	6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16	6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10
8	Kasımpaşa	6	2	4	0	7	5	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13	12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5	13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3	11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	-14	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.