Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor Prediction
AI call
Galatasaray to win or draw
70%
20%
11%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor prediction: Sportiko gives Galatasaray a 70% chance of winning, Kocaelispor 11% and the draw 20%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 18:55.
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Timeline
Deniz Gül
Goal Disallowed - Foul
12'
🖵
▮
16'
Yellow Card
▮
22'
Anfernee Dijksteel
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Deniz Gül
Yellow Card
56'
▮
⇄
59'
Daniel Agyei
⇄ Makana Baku
Gabriel Sara
⇄ Aleksey Batrakov
59'
⇄
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
assist: Aleksey Batrakov
71'
⚽
1–0
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Yellow Card
72'
▮
Deniz Gül
⇄ Leroy Sané
77'
⇄
Yunus Akgün
⇄ Lesley Ugochukwu
77'
⇄
⇄
77'
Berkan Kutlu
⇄ Tayfur Bingöl
⇄
78'
Florian Ayé
⇄ Metehan Altunbaş
Eren Elmalı
⇄ Ismail Jakobs
86'
⇄
Rafael Leão
⇄ Kazımcan Karataş
86'
⇄
⇄
86'
Mahamadou Susoho
⇄ Uğur Kaan Yıldız
⇄
86'
Tanguy Zoukrou
⇄ Arda Ozyar
Roland Sallai
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
FT 1–0
Galatasaray
Match Stats
Kocaelispor
61%
Ball Possession
39%
2.40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
28
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Goal
0
14
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
7
19
Shots insidebox
9
9
Shots outsidebox
2
16
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7
469
Total passes
314
416
Passes accurate
240
89%
Passes %
76%
0.23
goals_prevented
0.23
Galatasaray
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Abdülkerim Bardakcı D | 8.3 | 92' | 1 | – | 2 | 73 (70%) | – |
| 7 Roland Sallai D | 7.9 | 92' | – | – | 2 | 48 (40%) | 5 |
| 27 Rafael Leão M | 7.7 | 86' | – | – | 3 | 34 (27%) | – |
| 6 Davinson Sánchez D | 7.6 | 92' | – | – | 3 | 70 (65%) | 1 |
| 11 Yunus Akgün M | 7.5 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 39 (34%) | 1 |
| 8 Gabriel Sara M | 7.3 | 59' | – | – | 3 | 34 (31%) | – |
| 53 Barış Alper Yılmaz M | 7.0 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | – |
| 10 Leroy Sané F | 7.0 | 15' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 83 Aleksey Batrakov M | 7.0 | 33' | – | 1 | – | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 34 Lucas Torreira M | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 55 (48%) | – |
| 17 Eren Elmalı D | 6.7 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 35 (31%) | 3 |
| 1 Uğurcan Çakır G | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | – |
| 21 Deniz Gül F | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | 4 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 18 Lesley Ugochukwu M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 4 Ismail Jakobs D | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 88 Kazımcan Karataş D | — | 6' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
Kocaelispor
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Anfernee Dijksteel D | 7.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 3 |
| 6 Matej Maglica D | 7.3 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 30 (22%) | 2 |
| 83 Serhat Öztaşdelen G | 7.2 | 92' | – | – | – | 34 (13%) | – |
| 97 Florian Ayé F | 7.0 | 78' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 10 Berkan Kutlu M | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 3 |
| 21 Massadio Haïdara D | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 75 Tayfur Bingöl D | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 11 Gonçalo Sousa F | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 4 Tanguy Zoukrou D | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | – |
| 20 Mahamadou Susoho M | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 32 Makana Baku M | 6.5 | 33' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 14 Show M | 6.2 | 92' | – | – | – | 49 (38%) | 2 |
| 7 Daniel Agyei F | 6.2 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 26 Metehan Altunbaş F | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 22 Uğur Kaan Yıldız D | — | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 17 Arda Ozyar F | — | 6' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (70%)
At a glance
Our lean
Galatasaray to win or draw
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Galatasaray
WWWWW
Kocaelispor
WDWWL
Last 2 meetings
Galatasaray · 0W 1D 1L
Match summary
In their upcoming Süper Lig clash, Galatasaray faces Kocaelispor, bringing a significant historical edge with Galatasaray's strong home form. They have averaged 2.5 goals per game in their last five home fixtures, showcasing a potent attack. Conversely, Kocaelispor has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five away games. The matchup likely favors Galatasaray, who will aim to capitalize on Kocaelispor's defensive vulnerabilities to secure a vital three points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
70%
10%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
11%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Galatasaray
V. Osimhen
9 gls
Kocaelispor
B. Kutlu
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor
0
Galatasaray Wins
1
Draws
1
Kocaelispor Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Galatasaray | 1 - 1 | Kocaelispor |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Kocaelispor | 1 - 0 | Galatasaray |
Galatasaray — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Amed | W | 4 - 3 |
| 03 Nov | H VfB Stuttgart | W | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Oct | A Konyaspor | W | 0 - 4 |
| 26 Oct | H Fenerbahçe | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | A Lille | W | 2 - 4 |
Kocaelispor — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Eyüpspor | W | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Rizespor | D | 0 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | H Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | W | 3 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | A Alanyaspor | W | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Göztepe | L | 1 - 2 |
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 |
Amed
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 15 | +13 | 23 |
| 3 |
Trabzonspor
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 22 |
| 4 |
Kasımpaşa
|
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 |
Beşiktaş
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |
Kocaelispor
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |
Başakşehir
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |
Fenerbahçe
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 9 |
Çorum FK
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Göztepe
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |
Erzurumspor FK
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |
Alanyaspor
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |
Rizespor
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |
Konyaspor
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Gaziantep FK
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Samsunspor
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |
Eyüpspor
|
11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 30 | -27 | 3 |
Galatasaray
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: O. Buruk
1
Çakır
17
Elmalı
42
Bardakcı
6
Sánchez
7
Sallai
8
Sara
34
Torreira
27
Leão
11
Akgün
53
Yılmaz
21
Gül
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uğurcan Çakır | G |
| 7 | Roland Sallai | D |
| 6 | Davinson Sánchez | D |
| 42 | Abdülkerim Bardakcı | D |
| 17 | Eren Elmalı | D |
| 34 | Lucas Torreira | M |
| 8 | Gabriel Sara | M |
| 53 | Barış Alper Yılmaz | M |
| 11 | Yunus Akgün | M |
| 27 | Rafael Leão | M |
| 21 | Deniz Gül | F |
Substitutes
| 83 | Aleksey Batrakov | M |
| 24 | Jankat Yılmaz | G |
| 4 | Ismail Jakobs | D |
| 3 | El Chadaille Bitshiabu | D |
| 88 | Kazımcan Karataş | D |
| 23 | Kaan Ayhan | D |
| 10 | Leroy Sané | F |
| 74 | Renato Nhaga | M |
| 20 | İlkay Gündoğan | M |
| 18 | Lesley Ugochukwu | M |
Kocaelispor
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Selcuk Inan
83
Öztaşdelen
21
Haïdara
6
Maglica
4
Zoukrou
2
Dijksteel
20
Susoho
14
Show
10
Kutlu
7
Agyei
97
Ayé
11
Sousa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 83 | Serhat Öztaşdelen | G |
| 2 | Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel | D |
| 4 | Tanguy Zoukrou | D |
| 6 | Matej Maglica | D |
| 21 | Massadio Haïdara | D |
| 10 | Berkan Kutlu | M |
| 14 | Show | M |
| 20 | Mahamadou Susoho | M |
| 11 | Gonçalo Sousa | F |
| 97 | Florian Ayé | F |
| 7 | Dan Agyei | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | Makana Baku | M |
| 23 | Onurcan Piri | G |
| 22 | Uğur Kaan Yıldız | D |
| 3 | Muharrem Cinan | D |
| 5 | Emir Ortakaya | D |
| 41 | Onur Öztonga | D |
| 27 | Ege Bilim | M |
| 26 | Metehan Altunbaş | F |
| 75 | Tayfur Bingöl | D |
| 17 | Arda Ozyar | F |