Casa Pia vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

14 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Estrela

Away

AI call Estrela to win or draw

23%

72%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Casa Pia vs Estrela prediction: Sportiko gives Casa Pia a 5% chance of winning, Estrela 72% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 22.2%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Casa Pia

WLDLL

Estrela

LDWDW

Last 3 meetings Casa Pia · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Casa Pia will face Estrela in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Casa Pia has shown a solid defensive record this season, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match. Estrela, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, often relying on individual brilliance to secure points. The match will likely hinge on Casa Pia's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Estrela's attacking threats. Both teams will be eager to secure vital points as the season progresses, making for an intriguing tactical battle.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

72%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estrela goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	22	20	11	5	2
1	3	8	6	3	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Casa Pia goals · most likely 0–1 (22.2%)

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Players in form

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

93% Away (No Draw) 7% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

28%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.4%	22.2%	19.8%	11.3%	4.8%
1	3.2%	7.8%	5.9%	3.4%	1.4%
2	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

36%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Casa Pia	Draw	Estrela
Casa Pia	2.8%	1.8%	1.2%
Draw	2.6%	18.3%	25.1%
Estrela	0.2%	1.7%	46.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Casa Pia vs Estrela

1 Casa Pia Wins

0 Draws

2 Estrela Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Mar 2026	Estrela	4 - 0	Casa Pia
01 Nov 2025	Casa Pia	3 - 5	Estrela
09 Feb 2025	Casa Pia	1 - 0	Estrela

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Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.