Rio Ave vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

28 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Alverca

Away

AI call Rio Ave to win or draw

75%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rio Ave vs Alverca prediction: Sportiko gives Rio Ave a 75% chance of winning, Alverca 4% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 20.6%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Rio Ave

LDLLW

Alverca

WWLDL

Last 3 meetings Rio Ave · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Rio Ave will host Alverca. Rio Ave has demonstrated a strong defensive record this season, conceding only 1.2 goals per match on average, while Alverca has struggled offensively, scoring just 0.9 goals per game. Both teams have contrasting form, with Rio Ave winning 60% of their recent matches compared to Alverca's 30%. Key player performances, particularly in midfield, will be crucial for controlling the game's tempo. This match could be pivotal for both sides in their quest for league stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alverca goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	3	1
1	21	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Rio Ave goals · most likely 1–0 (20.6%)

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Players in form

Rio Ave

No scorer data.

Alverca

D. Camara 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	20.6%	7.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	12.8%	3.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.0%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rio Ave	Draw	Alverca
Rio Ave	50.1%	1.6%	0.1%
Draw	25.0%	15.7%	2.2%
Alverca	1.3%	1.7%	2.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rio Ave vs Alverca

0 Rio Ave Wins

1 Draws

2 Alverca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Alverca	1 - 0	Rio Ave
04 Apr 2026	Rio Ave	1 - 2	Alverca
08 Nov 2025	Alverca	1 - 1	Rio Ave

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alverca	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	H Estrela	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Santa Clara	L	4 - 0
28 Aug	H Sporting CP	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Estoril	W	0 - 2

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Nacional	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H SC Braga	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Santa Clara	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.