Santa Clara vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Arouca

Away

AI call Santa Clara to win or draw

69%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Santa Clara vs Arouca prediction: Sportiko gives Santa Clara a 69% chance of winning, Arouca 8% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 17.4%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Santa Clara

DWWDW

Arouca

DLDWL

Last 3 meetings Santa Clara · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Santa Clara is set to face Arouca in a Primeira Liga matchup on February 21, 2027. Santa Clara has shown a solid defensive record, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match this season, while Arouca has struggled to find the net consistently, with a goals-per-game average of just 0.9. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as both have been effective in scoring from corners. This match will be crucial for Arouca to gain points in their relegation battle, while Santa Clara aims to secure mid-table stability. Expect a tightly contested encounter with potential for a low-scoring affair.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arouca goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	4	1
1	17	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	5	2	1
5	2	1

↑ Santa Clara goals · most likely 1–0 (17.4%)

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Players in form

Santa Clara

Gonçalo Paciência 5 gls

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	17.4%	9.9%	2.1%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.0%	8.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	10.4%	4.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.7%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
Santa Clara	45.2%	2.4%	0.4%
Draw	23.5%	16.6%	3.7%
Arouca	1.7%	2.4%	4.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Santa Clara vs Arouca

1 Santa Clara Wins

2 Draws

0 Arouca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	Arouca	1 - 2	Santa Clara
02 May 2026	Arouca	2 - 2	Santa Clara
21 Dec 2025	Santa Clara	0 - 0	Arouca

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Santa Clara — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SC Braga	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Arouca	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A Alverca	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Famalicao	W	1 - 0

Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.