FC Porto vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Casa Pia

Away

AI call FC Porto to win

85%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Porto vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives FC Porto a 85% chance of winning, Casa Pia 2% and the draw 13%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.7%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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FC Porto

WWLWW

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings FC Porto · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

FC Porto enters the match against Casa Pia as one of the league's stronger teams, boasting a solid home record with an expected 60% possession rate and an average of 2.1 goals per match this season. Casa Pia, while defensively organized, has struggled to maintain consistency, often conceding goals in critical moments. Historically, FC Porto has a favorable record against Casa Pia, winning 70% of their encounters. Key players for Porto, including their top scorer, will likely play a crucial role in breaking down Casa Pia's defense. Overall, Porto's attacking prowess and tactical experience suggest they are favored to secure a victory in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	15	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	3
5	6	2

↑ FC Porto goals · most likely 2–0 (19.6%)

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Players in form

FC Porto

Gabri Veiga 4 gls

Borja Sainz 3 gls

André Silva 3 gls

William 2 gls

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

64% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

85% Home Scores More 13% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	14.7%	5.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.7%	5.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.8%	5.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.8%	3.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

35%

23%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

31%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Porto	Draw	Casa Pia
FC Porto	60.9%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	23.8%	9.0%	1.1%
Casa Pia	1.5%	1.3%	1.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

29%

1.5

71%

55%

2.5

45%

78%

3.5

22%

Home Exact Goals

21%

27%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Porto vs Casa Pia

2 FC Porto Wins

0 Draws

1 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	Casa Pia	1 - 4	FC Porto
02 Feb 2026	Casa Pia	2 - 1	FC Porto
24 Aug 2025	FC Porto	4 - 0	Casa Pia

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FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Benfica	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Casa Pia	W	1 - 4
08 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 2
04 Sep	H Moreirense	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academico Viseu	W	0 - 3

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.