Moreirense vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

14 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

FC Porto

Away

AI call Difficult FC Porto win or draw

19%

25%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Moreirense vs FC Porto prediction: Sportiko gives Moreirense a 19% chance of winning, FC Porto 56% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Moreirense

DWLLW

FC Porto

WWLWW

Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Moreirense will face FC Porto, a match that presents a significant challenge for the home side. FC Porto has demonstrated strong form, currently positioned among the top teams in the league with a solid away record. Moreirense, while capable, struggles against higher-ranked opponents, having secured only a few victories in their recent outings. Key players to watch include Porto’s attacking threats, who could exploit any defensive lapses from Moreirense. Overall, FC Porto enters as the favorite based on current form and league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Porto goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	10	6	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Moreirense goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Moreirense

No scorer data.

FC Porto

Gabri Veiga 4 gls

Borja Sainz 3 gls

André Silva 3 gls

William 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

25%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

25%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

75% Away (No Draw) 25% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	9.2%	9.9%	6.2%	2.9%
1	4.4%	12.1%	10.0%	6.3%	2.9%
2	2.9%	5.4%	5.1%	3.2%	1.5%
3	1.0%	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Moreirense	Draw	FC Porto
Moreirense	10.8%	4.1%	2.8%
Draw	7.4%	15.4%	19.0%
FC Porto	1.3%	3.9%	35.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Moreirense vs FC Porto

0 Moreirense Wins

0 Draws

3 FC Porto Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Sep 2026	FC Porto	2 - 1	Moreirense
15 Mar 2026	FC Porto	3 - 0	Moreirense
27 Oct 2025	Moreirense	1 - 2	FC Porto

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Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Benfica	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Casa Pia	W	1 - 4
08 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 2
04 Sep	H Moreirense	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academico Viseu	W	0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.