Sporting CP vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

07 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Rio Ave

Away

AI call Difficult Sporting CP win or draw

57%

25%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave prediction: Sportiko gives Sporting CP a 57% chance of winning, Rio Ave 18% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Sporting CP

DDWWW

Rio Ave

LDLLW

Last 3 meetings Sporting CP · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Sporting CP enters this match against Rio Ave with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per game in the current season, while maintaining a solid defensive line that concedes approximately 0.9 goals per match. Conversely, Rio Ave has struggled offensively, averaging just 1 goal per game, which could be a critical disadvantage. Additionally, Sporting's possession-based play style has seen them dominate ball control, averaging over 60% possession. This match could hinge on Sporting's ability to convert their chances against a Rio Ave defense that has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in away matches.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rio Ave goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	3	1
1	9	12	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	7	3	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Sporting CP goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Sporting CP

L. Suárez 6 gls

Flávio Gonçalves 3 gls

F. Ioannidis 2 gls

Rio Ave

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

25%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

25%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	4.0%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	8.9%	11.8%	5.3%	1.8%	0.5%
2	9.9%	10.1%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.4%	6.5%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
4	3.1%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sporting CP	Draw	Rio Ave
Sporting CP	37.1%	4.2%	1.5%
Draw	18.8%	14.9%	7.8%
Rio Ave	2.6%	3.7%	9.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sporting CP vs Rio Ave

3 Sporting CP Wins

0 Draws

0 Rio Ave Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Aug 2026	Rio Ave	0 - 4	Sporting CP
11 May 2026	Rio Ave	1 - 4	Sporting CP
28 Dec 2025	Sporting CP	4 - 0	Rio Ave

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sporting CP — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arouca	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Famalicao	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Galatasaray	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Nacional	W	2 - 0
28 Aug	A Rio Ave	W	0 - 4

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alverca	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	H Estrela	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Santa Clara	L	4 - 0
28 Aug	H Sporting CP	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Estoril	W	0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.