Santa Clara vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

07 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Alverca

Away

AI call Santa Clara to win

79%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Santa Clara vs Alverca prediction: Sportiko gives Santa Clara a 79% chance of winning, Alverca 4% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Santa Clara

DWWDW

Alverca

WWLDL

Last 3 meetings Santa Clara · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Santa Clara will host Alverca. Santa Clara has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Alverca's attack has struggled, averaging only 0.9 goals per match. The key for Santa Clara will be to exploit their opponent's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in transitional play. Conversely, Alverca will need to improve their finishing to capitalize on any chances they create. Overall, this matchup could hinge on Santa Clara's ability to maintain their defensive solidity and convert opportunities into goals.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alverca goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	19	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	8	2
5	3	1

↑ Santa Clara goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Santa Clara

Gonçalo Paciência 5 gls

Alverca

D. Camara 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	2.0%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.7%	6.6%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.3%	4.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.5%	2.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

36%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Santa Clara	Draw	Alverca
Santa Clara	54.2%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.5%	13.2%	1.8%
Alverca	1.3%	1.6%	2.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Santa Clara vs Alverca

1 Santa Clara Wins

2 Draws

0 Alverca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Alverca	1 - 1	Santa Clara
21 Feb 2026	Alverca	1 - 1	Santa Clara
20 Sep 2025	Santa Clara	2 - 1	Alverca

Santa Clara — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SC Braga	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Arouca	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A Alverca	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Famalicao	W	1 - 0

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Nacional	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H SC Braga	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Santa Clara	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.