Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19
24 Jan 2027, 16:00
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At a glance

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Moreirense
LWWLL
Arouca
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga matchup, Moreirense will face Arouca with both teams aiming to secure valuable points. Moreirense has shown inconsistency this season, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, while Arouca has displayed resilience and a stronger performance overall. Key players to watch include Moreirense's attacking threats and Arouca's solid defensive line. The outcome will likely hinge on Moreirense's ability to convert chances against Arouca's disciplined defense, making this a crucial clash for both teams in their pursuit of league stability.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
67%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
9%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Moreirense
N. John 3 gls
Arouca
Barbero 5 gls

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Head to Head: Moreirense vs Arouca

1 Moreirense Wins
0 Draws
2 Arouca Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Aug 2026 Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense
21 Mar 2026 Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
02 Nov 2025 Arouca 0 - 2 Moreirense
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Sporting CP L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Estrela W 2 - 1
25 Oct A Estoril W 1 - 3
17 Oct A AVS L 1 - 0
09 Oct H GIL Vicente L 0 - 1

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Famalicao L 1 - 0
01 Nov H Nacional W 1 - 0
24 Oct A Alverca W 0 - 1
18 Oct A CF Os Belenenses W 3 - 4
11 Oct H Estrela W 1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 +21 30
2
Benfica
10 8 1 1 +19 25
3
Sporting CP
11 7 3 1 +13 24
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 +9 21
5
Arouca
11 6 2 3 +5 20
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 +3 20
7
GIL Vicente
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 +1 14
9
Moreirense
11 4 2 5 -5 14
10
Famalicao
11 3 4 4 +1 13
11
Alverca
11 3 3 5 -1 12
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 -4 10
13
Vitória SC
10 2 3 5 0 9
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 -12 8
15
Casa Pia
11 2 2 7 -14 8
16
Nacional
10 2 1 7 -9 7
17
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 -14 7
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 -14 2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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