Rio Ave vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

10 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Moreirense

Away

AI call Rio Ave or draw

47%

33%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rio Ave vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives Rio Ave a 47% chance of winning, Moreirense 20% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.5%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Rio Ave

LDLLW

Moreirense

DWLLW

Last 3 meetings Rio Ave · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Rio Ave will host Moreirense. Rio Ave has shown solid form in recent fixtures, particularly in their defensive organization, allowing just 1.2 goals per game on average this season. Moreirense, conversely, has struggled to find the back of the net, with an average of only 0.8 goals scored per match. Key players to watch include Rio Ave's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking plays, while Moreirense will need to improve their finishing to convert chances into goals. This matchup could hinge on Rio Ave's ability to capitalize on defensive errors from Moreirense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

20%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Moreirense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	8	4	1
1	15	14	5	1
2	11	8	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Rio Ave goals · most likely 1–0 (15.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

33%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

33%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.3%	8.5%	3.8%	0.9%	0.2%
1	15.5%	14.3%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%
2	10.7%	7.9%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	4.5%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.4%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rio Ave	Draw	Moreirense
Rio Ave	27.9%	3.7%	0.9%
Draw	18.5%	23.4%	9.2%
Moreirense	1.6%	3.7%	11.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rio Ave vs Moreirense

1 Rio Ave Wins

0 Draws

2 Moreirense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Feb 2026	Rio Ave	1 - 2	Moreirense
13 Sep 2025	Moreirense	3 - 1	Rio Ave
13 Apr 2025	Moreirense	0 - 2	Rio Ave

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alverca	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	H Estrela	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Santa Clara	L	4 - 0
28 Aug	H Sporting CP	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Estoril	W	0 - 2

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.