GIL Vicente vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

27 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Arouca

Away

AI call GIL Vicente to win or draw

71%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

GIL Vicente vs Arouca prediction: Sportiko gives GIL Vicente a 71% chance of winning, Arouca 6% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 19.1%

Both teams to score

28%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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GIL Vicente

DLLDW

Arouca

DLDWL

Last 3 meetings GIL Vicente · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

GIL Vicente will host Arouca in a Primeira Liga clash on December 27, 2026. GIL Vicente has shown a solid home form, with a recent average of 1.5 goals per match at home, compared to Arouca's away average of 1.0 goals. Arouca's defensive statistics indicate they've conceded an average of 1.4 goals per away match, which could be a concern against GIL Vicente’s attacking prowess. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on their respective strengths, making for an intriguing matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

71%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arouca goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	3	1
1	19	9	2
2	18	7	1
3	11	4	1
4	5	2
5	2	1

↑ GIL Vicente goals · most likely 1–0 (19.1%)

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Players in form

GIL Vicente

Héctor Hernández 3 gls

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

AI match tools

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	19.1%	8.9%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.4%	7.2%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
3	11.2%	4.4%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.1%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

63%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	GIL Vicente	Draw	Arouca
GIL Vicente	46.8%	2.0%	0.2%
Draw	24.3%	16.6%	3.0%
Arouca	1.5%	2.2%	3.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

68%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: GIL Vicente vs Arouca

0 GIL Vicente Wins

2 Draws

1 Arouca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 May 2026	GIL Vicente	1 - 3	Arouca
28 Dec 2025	Arouca	2 - 2	GIL Vicente
10 May 2025	GIL Vicente	1 - 1	Arouca

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GIL Vicente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Maritimo	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Benfica	L	3 - 1
06 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Famalicao	D	0 - 0
24 Aug	H Casa Pia	W	2 - 0

Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.