Estoril vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16
27 Dec 2026, 16:00
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Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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At a glance

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Estoril
LLDLL
Alverca
DLLLW
Last 2 meetings Estoril · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Estoril faces Alverca in a Primeira Liga matchup on December 27, 2026. Estoril has shown a solid home record, particularly in their defensive organization, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match at home this season. In contrast, Alverca has struggled on the road, with a defensive frailty that has seen them leak goals at a rate of 2 per match away from home. The key battle will be Estoril's ability to exploit Alverca's defensive weaknesses while maintaining their defensive discipline. Expect a tightly contested match, but Estoril may have the edge given their current form.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
73%
10%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
5%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Estoril

No scorer data.

Alverca
Vivaldo Semedo 3 gls

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Alverca

1 Estoril Wins
1 Draws
0 Alverca Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 May 2026 Alverca 1 - 1 Estoril
27 Dec 2025 Estoril 4 - 1 Alverca

Estoril — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct A FC Porto L 4 - 0
25 Oct H Moreirense L 1 - 3
18 Oct A Salgueiros D 1 - 1
10 Oct A Academico Viseu L 2 - 1
20 Sep H Casa Pia L 1 - 2

Alverca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Casa Pia D 1 - 1
02 Nov A Benfica L 1 - 0
24 Oct H Arouca L 0 - 1
18 Oct A Tondela L 2 - 0
12 Oct A Famalicao W 1 - 4

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 +21 30
2
Benfica
10 8 1 1 +19 25
3
Sporting CP
11 7 3 1 +13 24
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 +9 21
5
Arouca
11 6 2 3 +5 20
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 +3 20
7
GIL Vicente
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 +1 14
9
Moreirense
11 4 2 5 -5 14
10
Famalicao
11 3 4 4 +1 13
11
Alverca
11 3 3 5 -1 12
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 -4 10
13
Vitória SC
10 2 3 5 0 9
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 -12 8
15
Casa Pia
11 2 2 7 -14 8
16
Nacional
10 2 1 7 -9 7
17
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 -14 7
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 -14 2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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