Vitória SC vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

27 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Rio Ave

Away

AI call Difficult Vitória SC win or draw

56%

28%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Vitória SC vs Rio Ave prediction: Sportiko gives Vitória SC a 56% chance of winning, Rio Ave 16% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Vitória SC

DLDLW

Rio Ave

LDLLW

Last 3 meetings Vitória SC · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Guimaraes will host Rio Ave in a Primeira Liga clash on December 27, 2026. Historically, Guimaraes has been strong at home, boasting a solid defensive record and the ability to control possession, averaging 55% in their recent matches. In contrast, Rio Ave has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. This match could hinge on Guimaraes' ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, especially against a Rio Ave side that may struggle to contain their attacking threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rio Ave goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	3	1
1	13	13	4	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	7	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Vitória SC goals · most likely 1–0 (13.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	5.5%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
1	13.4%	12.9%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.2%	9.4%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
3	6.7%	5.1%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.7%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Vitória SC	Draw	Rio Ave
Vitória SC	35.8%	3.7%	0.9%
Draw	19.9%	18.3%	7.1%
Rio Ave	2.1%	3.5%	8.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Vitória SC vs Rio Ave

3 Vitória SC Wins

0 Draws

0 Rio Ave Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Vitória SC	2 - 0	Rio Ave
13 Dec 2025	Rio Ave	0 - 1	Vitória SC
27 Apr 2025	Vitória SC	3 - 0	Rio Ave

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Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Moreirense	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Academico Viseu	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Casa Pia	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
23 Aug	H Nacional	W	1 - 0

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alverca	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	H Estrela	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Santa Clara	L	4 - 0
28 Aug	H Sporting CP	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Estoril	W	0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.