Estrela vs Maritimo Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

20 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Maritimo

Away

AI call Difficult Estrela win or draw

63%

26%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Estrela vs Maritimo prediction: Sportiko gives Estrela a 63% chance of winning, Maritimo 12% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.5%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Estrela

LDWDW

Maritimo

DLLLD

Last 2 meetings Estrela · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Estrela currently sits in a competitive position in the Primeira Liga, boasting a strong home record with a solid average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Maritimo, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, recording only 0.9 goals per match and conceding an average of 2.1 goals. Estrela's offensive efficiency and Maritimo's defensive vulnerabilities could play a critical role in the outcome. This match presents an opportunity for Estrela to capitalize on their scoring prowess against a Maritimo side that has faced difficulties away from home. Expect an engaging contest with Estrela potentially leveraging their attacking capabilities to secure a crucial victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Maritimo goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	2
1	16	12	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Estrela goals · most likely 1–0 (15.5%)

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Players in form

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

Maritimo

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	4.7%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
1	15.5%	11.6%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.5%	8.9%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.3%	5.1%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	3.6%	2.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estrela	Draw	Maritimo
Estrela	40.6%	3.1%	0.6%
Draw	21.6%	17.8%	5.3%
Maritimo	1.9%	3.0%	6.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estrela vs Maritimo

1 Estrela Wins

0 Draws

1 Maritimo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jun 2023	Maritimo	2 - 1	Estrela
03 Jun 2023	Estrela	2 - 1	Maritimo

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Maritimo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A GIL Vicente	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Moreirense	L	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 3
29 Aug	A Arouca	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Academico Viseu	D	2 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.