Rio Ave vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

20 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Benfica

Away

AI call Rio Ave or draw

36%

31%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction: Sportiko gives Rio Ave a 36% chance of winning, Benfica 33% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Rio Ave

LDLLW

Benfica

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Rio Ave · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Rio Ave faces Benfica on December 20th. Historically, Benfica has displayed a strong performance against Rio Ave, boasting a higher win percentage in their previous encounters. Benfica currently ranks among the league's top teams, showcasing a potent attacking lineup that averages over 2 goals per match this season. Conversely, Rio Ave has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. This matchup will heavily depend on Rio Ave's ability to contain Benfica's offensive threats while maximizing their own scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Benfica goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	6	2	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Rio Ave goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Rio Ave

No scorer data.

Benfica

V. Pavlidis 8 gls

G. Prestianni 5 gls

L. Barreiro 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	8.6%	6.1%	2.4%	0.7%
1	9.2%	14.7%	7.7%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.9%	8.2%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.9%	3.4%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
Rio Ave	21.6%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	13.9%	19.7%	13.1%
Benfica	1.8%	4.4%	19.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rio Ave vs Benfica

0 Rio Ave Wins

1 Draws

2 Benfica Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Rio Ave	0 - 2	Benfica
23 Sep 2025	Benfica	1 - 1	Rio Ave
16 Mar 2025	Rio Ave	2 - 3	Benfica

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Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alverca	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	H Estrela	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Santa Clara	L	4 - 0
28 Aug	H Sporting CP	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Estoril	W	0 - 2

Benfica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Porto	L	3 - 1
16 Sep	A AC Milan	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H GIL Vicente	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Moreirense	W	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Maritimo	W	0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.