Casa Pia vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

13 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Nacional

Away

AI call Nacional or draw

22%

34%

45%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Casa Pia vs Nacional prediction: Sportiko gives Casa Pia a 22% chance of winning, Nacional 45% and the draw 34%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:0 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

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Casa Pia

WLDLL

Nacional

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Casa Pia · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Casa Pia will face Nacional. Casa Pia has displayed solid form this season, characterized by a strong defense, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match, while Nacional has struggled, with one of the league's weaker attacks averaging under 1 goal scored per match. Both teams will be keen to secure points, but Casa Pia's superior defensive record could play a crucial role in determining the outcome. Expect a tactical battle, with Casa Pia likely aiming to control possession and frustrate Nacional's attacking efforts.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nacional goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16	15	10	4	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Casa Pia goals · most likely 0–0 (16.1%)

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

34%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

34%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 34% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.1%	15.5%	10.2%	4.0%	1.2%
1	9.1%	14.5%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	4.1%	4.8%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
3	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Casa Pia	Draw	Nacional
Casa Pia	12.1%	3.8%	1.6%
Draw	9.6%	24.1%	18.1%
Nacional	0.9%	3.7%	26.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Casa Pia vs Nacional

0 Casa Pia Wins

1 Draws

2 Nacional Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Nacional	0 - 0	Casa Pia
30 Aug 2025	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Nacional
16 Mar 2025	Nacional	3 - 1	Casa Pia

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Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.