Nacional vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Benfica

Away

AI call Difficult Benfica win or draw

15%

25%

59%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nacional vs Benfica prediction: Sportiko gives Nacional a 15% chance of winning, Benfica 59% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Nacional

LLLLL

Benfica

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Nacional · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Nacional faces Benfica. Historically, Benfica has a strong advantage in head-to-head encounters, boasting a higher win percentage and superior goal difference. Nacional has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could be a critical factor against Benfica's potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Both teams will aim for crucial points, but Benfica's attacking prowess and depth could tip the balance in their favor. Expect a high-paced match with potential goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Benfica goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	12	7	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	2	4	4	3	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Nacional goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Nacional

No scorer data.

Benfica

V. Pavlidis 8 gls

G. Prestianni 5 gls

L. Barreiro 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	11.3%	11.8%	7.3%	3.4%
1	4.4%	12.1%	9.9%	6.1%	2.8%
2	2.4%	4.5%	4.2%	2.6%	1.2%
3	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nacional	Draw	Benfica
Nacional	8.5%	3.7%	2.5%
Draw	6.4%	16.0%	20.1%
Benfica	1.0%	3.6%	38.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nacional vs Benfica

0 Nacional Wins

0 Draws

3 Benfica Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Benfica	2 - 0	Nacional
29 Nov 2025	Nacional	1 - 2	Benfica
08 Mar 2025	Benfica	3 - 0	Nacional

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Benfica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Porto	L	3 - 1
16 Sep	A AC Milan	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H GIL Vicente	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Moreirense	W	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Maritimo	W	0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.