Arouca vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12
29 Nov 2026, 16:00
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At a glance

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Arouca
LWWWW
Rio Ave
LLWWL
Last 3 meetings Arouca · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Arouca faces Rio Ave, both teams looking to secure vital points. Arouca has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1 goal per game this season. Conversely, Rio Ave's attacking line has been inconsistent, averaging just 1.2 goals per match. The matchup will likely hinge on Arouca's ability to maintain defensive solidity while capitalizing on any defensive lapses from Rio Ave. Key players to watch include Arouca's top scorer, who could exploit opportunities against a Rio Ave side that has struggled on the road.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
10%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
64%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Arouca
Barbero 5 gls
Rio Ave

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Rio Ave

1 Arouca Wins
2 Draws
0 Rio Ave Wins
Date Home Score Away
31 Jan 2026 Rio Ave 0 - 3 Arouca
23 Aug 2025 Arouca 3 - 3 Rio Ave
10 Feb 2025 Arouca 1 - 1 Rio Ave
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Famalicao L 1 - 0
01 Nov H Nacional W 1 - 0
24 Oct A Alverca W 0 - 1
18 Oct A CF Os Belenenses W 3 - 4
11 Oct H Estrela W 1 - 0

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov A Academico Viseu L 2 - 1
25 Oct H Famalicao L 0 - 4
17 Oct A Louletano W 0 - 1
11 Oct H Nacional W 3 - 2
19 Sep A Alverca L 1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 +21 30
2
Benfica
10 8 1 1 +19 25
3
Sporting CP
11 7 3 1 +13 24
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 +9 21
5
Arouca
11 6 2 3 +5 20
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 +3 20
7
GIL Vicente
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 +1 14
9
Moreirense
11 4 2 5 -5 14
10
Famalicao
11 3 4 4 +1 13
11
Alverca
11 3 3 5 -1 12
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 -4 10
13
Vitória SC
10 2 3 5 0 9
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 -12 8
15
Casa Pia
11 2 2 7 -14 8
16
Nacional
10 2 1 7 -9 7
17
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 -14 7
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 -14 2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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