Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11

08 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Casa Pia

Away

AI call Alverca or draw

39%

34%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives Alverca a 39% chance of winning, Casa Pia 27% and the draw 34%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Alverca

WWLDL

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 2 meetings Alverca · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Alverca faces Casa Pia. Alverca has shown a strong offensive capability this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while maintaining a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded. Casa Pia, on the other hand, has been more defensively oriented, conceding just 1 goal per match but struggling to find the back of the net, averaging 1.1 goals scored. This matchup could hinge on Alverca's ability to exploit Casa Pia's defensive setup and create scoring opportunities. The outcome will likely depend on Alverca's offensive pressure against Casa Pia's organized defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	10	5	2
1	13	15	6	2
2	8	7	3	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Alverca goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Alverca

D. Camara 3 gls

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

34%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

34%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.0%	10.2%	5.4%	1.6%	0.4%
1	13.1%	15.1%	6.0%	1.8%	0.4%
2	8.3%	7.5%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
3	3.1%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alverca	Draw	Casa Pia
Alverca	22.9%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	15.6%	23.7%	11.6%
Casa Pia	1.5%	4.0%	15.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Casa Pia

2 Alverca Wins

0 Draws

0 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Alverca	3 - 1	Casa Pia
29 Nov 2025	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Alverca

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Nacional	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H SC Braga	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Santa Clara	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 1

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.