Rio Ave vs Famalicao Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
AI call Famalicao or draw
25%
30%
45%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction: Sportiko gives Rio Ave a 25% chance of winning, Famalicao 45% and the draw 30%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 19:57.

Premium picks

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  • Over 1.5 Goals 73%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Yellow Card
40' ▮
Miguel Patricío Yellow Card
42' ▮
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 48'
Romeo Beney assist: Rodrigo Pinheiro
⇄ 60'
Tamás Szűcs ⇄ Patricio Salas
⇄ 60'
Georgios Koutsias ⇄ Pedro Santos
João Tomé
65' ⇄
Sebastian Clemmensen ⇄ Malik Sellouki
65' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Romeo Beney ⇄ Paulo Moreira
Miguel Patricío ⇄ Roland Galčík
77' ⇄
Yellow Card
80' ▮
⚽ 0–2 80'
Pedro Santos assist: Sorriso
Diogo Bezerra ⇄ Tamblé Monteiro
82' ⇄
Georgios Liavas ⇄ Dario Špikić
82' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Tom Van De Looi ⇄ Marcos Peña
⇄ 83'
Sorriso ⇄ Óscar Aranda
⚽ 0–3 85'
Óscar Aranda assist: Pedro Santos
Francisco Petrasso Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
⚽ 0–4 90+5'
Óscar Aranda Penalty
FT 0–4
Rio Ave

Match Stats

Famalicao
58% Ball Possession 42%
0.66 Expected Goals (xG) 0.93
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 0
21 Fouls 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
535 Total passes 396
464 Passes accurate 324
15 Free Kicks 21
Rio Ave
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Andreas Ndoj D 6.7 90' – – – 95 (87%) 3
54 Georgios Liavas M 6.7 82' – – 1 64 (60%) 1
90 Diogo Nascimento M 6.6 90' – – 1 64 (59%) 2
77 Dario Špikić F 6.5 8' – – – 3 (3%) 1
9 Tamblé Monteiro F 6.4 8' – – – – 1
11 Jalen Blesa F 6.3 90' – – 2 21 (17%) –
30 Roland Galčík F 6.3 13' – – – 5 (3%) 1
80 Sebastian Clemmensen M 6.2 65' – – 1 17 (16%) 1
20 João Tomé D 6.1 65' – – – 29 (23%) –
19 Malik Sellouki M 6.0 25' – – – 17 (16%) 1
7 Diogo Bezerra M 5.9 82' – – 2 21 (16%) –
23 Francisco Petrasso D 5.9 90' – – – 80 (73%) –
79 Miguel Patricío M 5.8 77' – – – 25 (20%) –
Seamus Maughan 5.7 25' – – – 9 (6%) –
32 Vitor Hugo G 5.5 90' – – – 34 (32%) –
17 Marios Vrousai D 5.0 90' – – – 51 (33%) –
Famalicao
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Romeo Beney M 8.2 66' 1 – 1 15 (10%) 1
7 Sorriso M 7.7 83' – 1 – 26 (20%) 2
10 Pedro Santos F 7.7 30' 1 1 1 11 (8%) –
11 Óscar Aranda F 7.6 7' 1 – 1 6 (3%) –
3 Léo Realpe D 7.2 90' – – 1 50 (47%) –
2 Gustavo García D 7.1 90' – – – 27 (22%) –
15 Víctor Rofino D 7.1 90' – – – 59 (50%) 2
17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D 7.0 90' – 1 – 46 (32%) 2
14 Mathias De Amorim M 6.9 90' – – 2 43 (37%) 1
21 Tamás Szűcs M 6.9 60' – – 2 19 (17%) 2
25 Lazar Carević G 6.8 90' – – – 37 (29%) –
19 Paulo Moreira M 6.8 24' – – – 5 (5%) –
6 Tom Van De Looi M 6.7 83' – – 1 26 (22%) 2
33 Patricio Salas F 6.6 30' – – 1 12 (9%) 1
70 Georgios Koutsias F 6.6 60' – – 1 6 (5%) 1
8 Marcos Peña M 6.4 7' – – – 8 (8%) –
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
Famalicao or draw
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Rio Ave
LLWWL
Famalicao
WLDWL
Last 3 meetings Rio Ave · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In their upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Rio Ave will host Famalicao, with both teams looking to gain crucial points. Rio Ave has shown a mixed form, holding a modest home record, while Famalicao has struggled for consistency on the road. Key players to watch include Rio Ave's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their recent performances, and Famalicao’s midfield general, known for creating scoring opportunities. The match could hinge on defensive solidity, as both teams have displayed vulnerabilities at the back, making it crucial for them to maintain discipline. Overall, this matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams eager to secure a vital victory.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
25%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
45%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Rio Ave

No scorer data.

Famalicao
G. Koutsias 5 gls

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Head to Head: Rio Ave vs Famalicao

0 Rio Ave Wins
2 Draws
1 Famalicao Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Mar 2026 Rio Ave 0 - 0 Famalicao
28 Sep 2025 Famalicao 0 - 0 Rio Ave
10 Mar 2025 Famalicao 1 - 0 Rio Ave
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov A Academico Viseu L 2 - 1
25 Oct H Famalicao L 0 - 4
17 Oct A Louletano W 0 - 1
11 Oct H Nacional W 3 - 2
19 Sep A Alverca L 1 - 0

Famalicao — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Arouca W 1 - 0
01 Nov A SC Braga L 3 - 0
29 Oct A SC Braga D 2 - 2
25 Oct A Rio Ave W 0 - 4
18 Oct A Paredes L 1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 +21 30
2
Benfica
10 8 1 1 +19 25
3
Sporting CP
11 7 3 1 +13 24
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 +9 21
5
Arouca
11 6 2 3 +5 20
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 +3 20
7
GIL Vicente
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 +1 14
9
Moreirense
11 4 2 5 -5 14
10
Famalicao
11 3 4 4 +1 13
11
Alverca
11 3 3 5 -1 12
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 -4 10
13
Vitória SC
10 2 3 5 0 9
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 -12 8
15
Casa Pia
11 2 2 7 -14 8
16
Nacional
10 2 1 7 -9 7
17
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 -14 7
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 -14 2

Rio Ave

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Seabra
32 Hugo
17 Vrousai
5 Ntoi
23 Petrasso
20 Tomé
54 Liavas
90 Nascimento
7 Bezerra
79 Patricio
80 Clemmensen
11 Blesa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 Vitor Hugo G
20 João Tomé D
23 F. Petrasso D
5 A. Ntoi D
17 M. Vrousai D
90 Diogo Nascimento M
54 G. Liavas M
80 S. Clemmensen M
79 M. Patricio M
7 Diogo Bezerra M
11 J. Blesa F

Substitutes

30 R. Galčík F
3 S. Garcia D
39 Gustavo Mancha D
44 T. Nikitscher M
8 Ryan Guilherme M
19 M. Sellouki M
77 D. Špikić F
9 Tamble Monteiro F
99 E. van der Gouw G
70 A. Wenck M
2 Jose Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Goncalves D
60 Caike D

Famalicao

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ricardo Silva
25 Carević
2 Garcia
3 Realpe
15 Rofino
17 Pinheiro
21 Szücs
6 Looi
7 Sorriso
14 Amorim
18 Beney
70 Koutsias

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 L. Carević G
17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D
15 Víctor Rofino D
3 L. Realpe D
2 Gustavo Garcia D
6 T. van de Looi M
21 Tamás Szücs M
18 R. Beney M
14 Mathias De Amorim M
7 Sorriso M
70 G. Koutsias F

Substitutes

1 I. Zlobin G
4 F. van Breemen D
30 V. Serafimović D
10 Pedro Santos F
33 P. Salas F
9 U. Abubakar F
8 Marcos Peña M
19 Paulo Moreira M
22 Gabriel G
72 Juvenal Augusto Gomes Correia F
24 Mathis Jangeal M
11 Óscar Aranda F

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