Nacional vs SC Braga Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

SC Braga

Away

AI call SC Braga or draw

24%

29%

47%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nacional vs SC Braga prediction: Sportiko gives Nacional a 24% chance of winning, SC Braga 47% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Nacional

LLLLL

SC Braga

DWLWW

Last 3 meetings Nacional · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Nacional faces SC Braga in a crucial Primeira Liga clash. Both teams are vying for European qualification spots, with Braga currently sitting higher in the league standings. Nacional has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, while Braga boasts a more robust attack, averaging 2 goals per game. The outcome may hinge on Nacional's ability to contain Braga's offensive threats and convert their chances into goals. This match could be pivotal for both sides as they look to capitalize on points in the league race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Braga goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	9	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	2	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Nacional goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Nacional

No scorer data.

SC Braga

Pau Victor 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.8%	10.7%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
1	6.6%	13.9%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.1%	6.2%	4.7%	2.3%	0.9%
3	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nacional	Draw	SC Braga
Nacional	13.4%	4.2%	2.2%
Draw	9.6%	18.7%	17.3%
SC Braga	1.4%	4.2%	29.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nacional vs SC Braga

1 Nacional Wins

0 Draws

2 SC Braga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Nacional	1 - 2	SC Braga
28 Sep 2025	SC Braga	0 - 1	Nacional
21 Feb 2025	SC Braga	1 - 0	Nacional

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Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

SC Braga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Santa Clara	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Estoril	W	1 - 0
10 Sep	A Estrela	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Alverca	W	1 - 2
31 Aug	H Vitória SC	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.