Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Santa Clara

Away

AI call Santa Clara to win or draw

23%

73%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara prediction: Sportiko gives Casa Pia a 5% chance of winning, Santa Clara 73% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 21.9%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Casa Pia

WLDLL

Santa Clara

DWWDW

Last 3 meetings Casa Pia · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Casa Pia faces Santa Clara in this Primeira Liga matchup. Casa Pia's recent form shows a solid defensive record, conceding just 1 goal in their last 3 matches, while Santa Clara has struggled offensively, scoring only 2 goals in their last 4 fixtures. Casa Pia has a slight edge with their midfield controlling the tempo effectively, averaging 55% possession in recent games. Santa Clara will need to improve their finishing to capitalize on any chances created. This clash could hinge on Casa Pia's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against a Santa Clara side that has been inconsistent in attack.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Santa Clara goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	22	20	12	5	2
1	3	8	6	3	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Casa Pia goals · most likely 0–1 (21.8%)

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Players in form

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

Santa Clara

Gonçalo Paciência 5 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	21.9%	19.9%	11.6%	5.1%
1	3.0%	7.7%	6.0%	3.5%	1.5%
2	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Casa Pia	Draw	Santa Clara
Casa Pia	2.7%	1.8%	1.2%
Draw	2.5%	17.7%	25.0%
Santa Clara	0.2%	1.7%	47.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

0 Casa Pia Wins

1 Draws

2 Santa Clara Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	Casa Pia	0 - 0	Santa Clara
06 Dec 2025	Santa Clara	1 - 0	Casa Pia
01 Feb 2025	Santa Clara	2 - 1	Casa Pia

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Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Santa Clara — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SC Braga	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Arouca	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A Alverca	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Famalicao	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.