Famalicao vs Alverca Prediction
FT
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
AI call
Famalicao or draw
49%
29%
22%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Famalicao vs Alverca prediction: Sportiko gives Famalicao a 49% chance of winning, Alverca 22% and the draw 29%. Last updated 12 Oct 2026, 21:11.
Premium picks
Premium- Under 3.5 Goals 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline
Pedro Bondo
Yellow Card
11'
▮
Víctor Rofino
Yellow Card
13'
▮
⚽
0–1
14'
Chiquinho
Matheus Mattara
⇄ Léo Realpe
20'
⇄
▮
34'
Francisco Chissumba
Yellow Card
Mathias De Amorim
Yellow Card
37'
▮
Víctor Rofino
assist: Marcos Peña
39'
⚽
1–1
▮
45+2'
Diogo Spencer
Yellow Card
HT 1–1
⚽
1–2
56'
Figueiredo
assist: Diogo Spencer
Tamás Szűcs
⇄ Tom Van De Looi
65'
⇄
Pedro Bondo
⇄ Patricio Salas
65'
⇄
Marcos Peña
⇄ Pedro Santos
65'
⇄
⇄
66'
Dawda Camara
⇄ André Vidigal
⇄
66'
Davy Gui
⇄ Zé Rafael
⇄
74'
Chiquinho
⇄ Matheus França
⇄
74'
Figueiredo
⇄ Vivaldo
⚽
1–3
77'
Vivaldo
assist: Matheus Mendes
Georgios Koutsias
⇄ Umar Abubakar
78'
⇄
⇄
80'
Isaac James
⚽
1–4
85'
André Vidigal
Penalty
FT 1–4
Famalicao
Match Stats
Alverca
64%
Ball Possession
36%
0.35
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
13
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
3
5
Shots insidebox
9
8
Shots outsidebox
4
8
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
27
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
538
Total passes
300
468
Passes accurate
237
27
Free Kicks
11
Famalicao
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Marcos Peña M | 7.3 | 65' | – | 1 | 1 | 57 (51%) | 4 |
| 15 Víctor Rofino D | 6.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 77 (70%) | – |
| 14 Mathias De Amorim M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 50 (46%) | 7 |
| 70 Georgios Koutsias F | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 10 Pedro Santos F | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 33 Patricio Salas F | 6.4 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 2 |
| 23 Gil Dias M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (35%) | – |
| 21 Tamás Szűcs M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 36 (34%) | 4 |
| 6 Tom Van De Looi M | 6.2 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 3 Léo Realpe D | 6.1 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 55 (54%) | 1 |
| 17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (59%) | 1 |
| 9 Umar Abubakar F | 5.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 25 Lazar Carević G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | – |
| 7 Sorriso M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 37 (29%) | 3 |
| 36 Matheus Mattara D | 5.7 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 28 Pedro Bondo D | 5.5 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 39 (31%) | 3 |
Alverca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Figueiredo F | 8.1 | 74' | 1 | – | 1 | 23 (15%) | – |
| 10 Chiquinho F | 8.1 | 74' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | 3 |
| 9 Vivaldo F | 7.5 | 16' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 7 André Vidigal F | 7.5 | 24' | 1 | – | 2 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 31 Matheus Mendes G | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 22 (21%) | – |
| 21 Sergi Gómez D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (42%) | 3 |
| 26 Matheus França F | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 14 Steven Baseya D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (34%) | 3 |
| 12 Isaac James D | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 6 Davy Gui M | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | 2 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.4 | 10' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 93 Zé Rafael M | 6.4 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | 2 |
| 35 Rayan Lucas M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (30%) | 4 |
| 19 Dawda Camara F | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | 3 | 10 (6%) | 1 |
| 20 Diogo Spencer M | 6.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 24 (14%) | 1 |
| 55 Francisco Chissumba M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (49%)
At a glance
Our lean
Famalicao or draw
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Famalicao
WLDWL
Alverca
DLLLW
Last 2 meetings
Famalicao · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
Famalicao enters this match against Alverca with a solid recent performance, holding a 60% win rate in their last five league matches. Their attacking unit has been prolific, averaging 2 goals per game during this period. Alverca, however, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last five fixtures, which could be exploited by Famalicao's offense. Key players to watch include Famalicao's leading scorer, whose form will be crucial in breaking down Alverca's defense. The outcome will largely depend on whether Alverca can shore up their backline against Famalicao's attacking threats.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
49%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
22%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Famalicao
G. Koutsias
5 gls
Alverca
Vivaldo Semedo
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Famalicao vs Alverca
1
Famalicao Wins
0
Draws
1
Alverca Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Famalicao | 1 - 0 | Alverca |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 1 - 0 | Famalicao |
Famalicao — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Arouca | W | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A SC Braga | L | 3 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | A SC Braga | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Rio Ave | W | 0 - 4 |
| 18 Oct | A Paredes | L | 1 - 0 |
Alverca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Casa Pia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Benfica | L | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Arouca | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Tondela | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Oct | A Famalicao | W | 1 - 4 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 5 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |
Academico Viseu
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |
GIL Vicente
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |
SC Braga
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |
Famalicao
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |
Estrela
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |
Nacional
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |
Maritimo
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |
Rio Ave
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 |
Famalicao
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Carlos Carvalhal
25
Carević
28
Francisco
15
Rofino
36
Mattara
17
Pinheiro
21
Szücs
8
Peña
7
Sorriso
14
Amorim
23
Dias
70
Koutsias
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | L. Carević | G |
| 17 | Rodrigo Pinheiro | D |
| 36 | M. Mattara | D |
| 15 | Víctor Rofino | D |
| 28 | Pedro Francisco | D |
| 8 | Marcos Peña | M |
| 21 | Tamás Szücs | M |
| 23 | Gil Dias | M |
| 14 | Mathias De Amorim | M |
| 7 | Sorriso | M |
| 70 | G. Koutsias | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | U. Abubakar | F |
| 2 | Gustavo Garcia | D |
| 24 | Mathis Jangeal | M |
| 19 | Paulo Moreira | M |
| 3 | L. Realpe | D |
| 33 | P. Salas | F |
| 10 | Pedro Santos | F |
| 30 | V. Serafimović | D |
| 6 | T. van de Looi | M |
| 22 | Gabriel | G |
| 1 | I. Zlobin | G |
Alverca
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Byron Webster
31
Mendes
12
James
21
Gómez
14
Baseya
55
Chissumba
6
Gui
35
Rayan
20
Marques
22
Figueiredo
19
Camara
10
Chiquinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matheus Mendes | G |
| 14 | S. Baseya | D |
| 21 | Sergi Gómez | D |
| 12 | I. James | D |
| 20 | Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques | M |
| 35 | Rayan | M |
| 6 | D. Gui | M |
| 55 | Francisco Chissumba | M |
| 10 | Chiquinho | F |
| 19 | D. Camara | F |
| 22 | Figueiredo | F |
Substitutes
| 91 | Jhonatan | G |
| 26 | Matheus França | F |
| 11 | C. Nuozzi | F |
| 9 | Vivaldo Semedo | F |
| 27 | Toni Tamarit | F |
| 2 | Zoubdi | F |
| 7 | André Vidigal | F |
| 93 | Zé Rafael | M |
| 4 | Y. Bojang | D |
| 24 | E. Jemide | D |
| 17 | S. Merheg | F |
| 8 | Vasco Moreira | M |