Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Vitória SC

Away

AI call Vitória SC or draw

34%

28%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Benfica vs Vitória SC prediction: Sportiko gives Benfica a 34% chance of winning, Vitória SC 38% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Benfica

LWWWW

Vitória SC

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings Benfica · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Benfica will face Guimarães at their home ground. Benfica has shown strong form this season, currently sitting in the upper half of the league table, largely due to their potent attack which averages 2.3 goals per match. Guimarães, while competitive, has struggled against top-tier teams, often falling short in away fixtures. Key players to watch will be Benfica's leading goal scorer, who has netted 6 goals thus far, and Guimarães' defense, which has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match. This match could significantly impact both teams' standings as they aim for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitória SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	4	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Benfica goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

Benfica

V. Pavlidis 8 gls

G. Prestianni 5 gls

L. Barreiro 2 gls

Vitória SC

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	6.5%	6.1%	3.1%	1.2%
1	6.0%	12.9%	8.8%	4.5%	1.7%
2	5.3%	8.2%	6.3%	3.2%	1.2%
3	2.6%	3.9%	3.0%	1.5%	0.6%
4	0.9%	1.4%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Benfica	Draw	Vitória SC
Benfica	20.2%	4.6%	2.4%
Draw	12.5%	16.3%	13.7%
Vitória SC	2.3%	4.7%	23.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Benfica vs Vitória SC

3 Benfica Wins

0 Draws

0 Vitória SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Benfica	3 - 0	Vitória SC
01 Nov 2025	Vitória SC	0 - 3	Benfica
19 Apr 2025	Vitória SC	0 - 3	Benfica

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Benfica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Porto	L	3 - 1
16 Sep	A AC Milan	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H GIL Vicente	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Moreirense	W	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Maritimo	W	0 - 3

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Moreirense	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Academico Viseu	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Casa Pia	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
23 Aug	H Nacional	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.